Introduction
The National Manufacturing Policy (2011) and the 'Make in India' initiative targeted an increase in manufacturing's share of India's GDP to 25%. However, over the past decade, the sector's contribution has stagnated at roughly 13–14%, evidencing a phenomenon often described as premature deindustrialization, where the economy bypassed secondary industry expansion directly into services-led growth.
Factors Responsible for Manufacturing Stagnation
- High Factor and Logistics Costs: Cross-subsidization of railway passenger fares and agricultural power inflates industrial electricity tariffs to among the highest globally. Despite recent improvements, logistics costs remain high at around 8–9% of GDP, eroding export competitiveness.
- The 'Missing Middle' Phenomenon: Stringent threshold-based labor laws and regulatory compliance burdens have disincentivized micro-enterprises from expanding. Over 90% of manufacturing enterprises operate as informal micro-units ('dwarfs' rather than 'infants'), failing to achieve economies of scale.
- Inverted Duty Structure: Higher customs tariffs on intermediate inputs and raw materials compared to finished products disincentivize domestic value addition and penalize local manufacturing clusters.
- Low Global Value Chain (GVC) Integration: India's participation rate in GVCs stands at approximately 34%, well below ASEAN peers (exceeding 60%), due to non-tariff barriers, slow customs clearance, and protective trade tariffs.
- Low R&D Investment and Capital Goods Deficit: India's Gross Expenditure on R&D (GERD) hovers at just 0.64% of GDP. This deficit sustains heavy import dependencies in advanced industrial machinery, semiconductors, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs).
Corrective Measures to Boost Manufacturing Growth
- Factor Market Reforms: Expeditiously notify and enforce the four consolidated Labour Codes across all states to reduce regulatory compliance, while expanding plug-and-play industrial land banks via the National Industrial Corridor Development Corporation (NICDC).
- Tariff Rationalization: Rectify inverted duty structures and lower input tariffs systematically to foster deeper integration into high-growth sectors like electronics, consumer durables, and automotive supply chains.
- Reorienting Incentive Architectures: Pivot the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) framework from basic assembly toward tier-2/tier-3 domestic value addition, localized component ecosystems, and backward linkages with MSMEs.
- Logistics and Infrastructure Modernization: Accelerate the completion of Western and Eastern Dedicated Freight Corridors (DFCs) and integrated multimodal logistics parks under PM Gati Shakti to lower logistics costs to global standards.
- Technological Deepening: Provide weighted tax incentives for corporate R&D, establish deep-tech co-investment funds, and encourage industry-academia linkages to foster domestic intellectual property and advanced automation.
Conclusion
Transitioning from low-value assembly to scale-driven, high-tech manufacturing is indispensable for absorbing surplus agricultural labor and creating productive employment. Achieving the vision of Viksit Bharat by 2047 hinges on building a competitive, resilient manufacturing ecosystem integrated with global value chains.