UPSC MainsGENERAL-STUDIES-PAPER-II201120 Marks250 Words
Q1.

List the Central Asian Republics and identify those of particular strategic and economic importance to India. Examine the opportunities and bottlenecks in enhancing relations with these countries.

How to Approach

This question requires a multi-faceted answer. First, identify the Central Asian Republics (CARs). Then, prioritize those strategically and economically important to India, justifying the selection. Finally, analyze the opportunities and bottlenecks in enhancing relations, covering political, economic, and security dimensions. Structure the answer by listing the CARs, categorizing their importance to India, and then detailing opportunities and challenges under separate headings. Use examples to illustrate points.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Central Asia, historically a crossroads of civilizations, has gained renewed significance in India’s foreign policy calculus. Comprising five republics – Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan – the region holds immense potential for India due to its geographical proximity, energy resources, and shared cultural ties. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, India has steadily cultivated relationships with these nations, particularly focusing on economic cooperation and security partnerships. However, realizing the full potential of this engagement requires navigating complex geopolitical dynamics and addressing existing infrastructural and logistical bottlenecks.

The Central Asian Republics

The five Central Asian Republics are:

  • Kazakhstan: Largest in area and economy, rich in oil and minerals.
  • Kyrgyzstan: Mountainous terrain, known for its natural beauty and water resources.
  • Tajikistan: Also mountainous, reliant on remittances and hydropower.
  • Turkmenistan: Possesses significant natural gas reserves, maintains a relatively isolated foreign policy.
  • Uzbekistan: Most populous, strategically located, and undergoing economic reforms.

Strategic and Economic Importance to India

While all CARs are important, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan hold particular significance for India:

  • Kazakhstan: Crucial for energy security, particularly uranium supply (India is a major importer). Also important for transit trade via the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC).
  • Uzbekistan: A key partner in regional connectivity initiatives, including INSTC. Offers opportunities for trade, investment, and cultural exchange. Its strategic location makes it vital for accessing other CARs.
  • Turkmenistan: Holds the world’s fourth-largest natural gas reserves. The Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) pipeline project, though facing challenges, remains a potential game-changer for India’s energy security.

Opportunities in Enhancing Relations

  • Energy Cooperation: Securing long-term energy supplies from Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan is paramount. Reviving and implementing projects like TAPI is crucial.
  • Connectivity Projects: INSTC offers a shorter and more cost-effective route for trade with Europe and Russia, bypassing Pakistan. India is investing in Chabahar Port (Iran) to further facilitate connectivity.
  • Defense and Security Cooperation: Joint military exercises, counter-terrorism cooperation, and intelligence sharing are vital to address regional security threats, including extremism and drug trafficking.
  • Economic Diversification: Expanding trade in non-traditional sectors like pharmaceuticals, IT, and agriculture. Promoting Indian investment in CARs and vice versa.
  • Cultural Diplomacy: Leveraging shared historical and cultural ties through educational exchanges, tourism promotion, and cultural festivals. The ‘India-Central Asia Dialogue’ is a useful platform.

Bottlenecks in Enhancing Relations

  • Connectivity Challenges: Lack of direct land connectivity remains a major obstacle. The INSTC faces delays and logistical hurdles. Geopolitical complexities in Afghanistan hinder TAPI’s progress.
  • Geopolitical Competition: China’s growing influence in the region, through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), poses a challenge to India’s interests. Russia also maintains significant influence.
  • Political Instability: Political transitions and internal conflicts in some CARs can disrupt bilateral relations and hinder investment.
  • Infrastructure Deficiencies: Poor infrastructure in CARs, including transportation networks and energy infrastructure, limits trade and investment.
  • Limited Awareness: Lack of awareness about each other’s markets and business environments among Indian and Central Asian companies.

Recent Developments: The India-Central Asia Summit held in July 2022, reaffirmed India’s commitment to strengthening ties with the region, focusing on trade, connectivity, and security cooperation.

Conclusion

India’s engagement with Central Asia is strategically vital, offering opportunities for energy security, regional connectivity, and economic growth. While significant progress has been made, overcoming connectivity challenges, navigating geopolitical competition, and addressing political instability are crucial for realizing the full potential of this partnership. A proactive and diversified approach, focusing on long-term investments and people-to-people ties, will be key to strengthening India’s position in this important region.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)
China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a global infrastructure development strategy adopted in 2013, involving investments in over 150 countries and regions. It aims to improve connectivity and cooperation on a transcontinental scale.

Key Statistics

India’s trade with Central Asia was approximately $2.5 billion in 2022-23, a significant increase from previous years but still below potential.

Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of India (as of knowledge cutoff - 2023)

China’s trade with Central Asia exceeded $40 billion in 2022, significantly outpacing India’s trade volume.

Source: China Customs Statistics (as of knowledge cutoff - 2023)

Examples

Chabahar Port

India is developing Chabahar Port in Iran as a key node in the INSTC, providing access to Afghanistan and Central Asia, bypassing Pakistan. This port is crucial for facilitating trade and humanitarian assistance.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the ‘India-Central Asia Dialogue’?

The ‘India-Central Asia Dialogue’ is a platform for India to engage with the five Central Asian Republics at the Foreign Minister level, discussing regional security, connectivity, and economic cooperation.