UPSC MainsGENERAL-STUDIES-PAPER-II201120 Marks250 Words
Q3.

Compared to the South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTA), the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multisectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation Free Trade Area (BIMSTEC FTA) seems to be more promising." Critically evaluate.

How to Approach

This question requires a comparative analysis of SAFTA and BIMSTEC FTA, evaluating why the latter is perceived as more promising. The answer should begin by briefly outlining both frameworks, highlighting their objectives and member states. Then, a detailed comparison focusing on key aspects like scope, political feasibility, economic potential, and implementation challenges is crucial. Finally, a balanced conclusion should summarize the advantages of BIMSTEC FTA and suggest potential areas for improvement. Structure: Introduction, SAFTA overview, BIMSTEC FTA overview, Comparative Analysis (Political, Economic, Implementation), Conclusion.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Regional trade agreements are pivotal for fostering economic cooperation and integration. The South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTA), established in 2006, aimed to reduce trade barriers among South Asian nations. However, its progress has been hampered by political tensions and non-tariff barriers. In contrast, the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multisectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) FTA, gaining momentum in recent years, presents a potentially more viable alternative. This answer critically evaluates the assertion that the BIMSTEC FTA is more promising than SAFTA, analyzing their respective strengths and weaknesses in the context of regional dynamics.

SAFTA: A Troubled Framework

SAFTA comprises eight member states: India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Maldives, and Afghanistan. Its core objective is the creation of a South Asian Economic Union. However, despite tariff reductions, intra-regional trade remains low, hovering around 5% of total trade (as of 2019, World Bank data). Key challenges include:

  • Political Instability: Persistent political tensions between India and Pakistan have consistently undermined SAFTA’s effectiveness.
  • Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs): Numerous NTBs, such as cumbersome customs procedures and differing standards, impede trade.
  • Sensitive Lists: Extensive sensitive lists, excluding numerous products from tariff reductions, limit the scope of liberalization.
  • Uneven Implementation: Disparities in economic development and implementation capacity among member states hinder progress.

BIMSTEC FTA: A Rising Star

BIMSTEC consists of seven nations: Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Thailand. It focuses on cooperation in various sectors, including trade, investment, energy, transport, and tourism. The BIMSTEC FTA, finalized in 2022, aims to create a more comprehensive and integrated economic space. Its key features include:

  • Broader Scope: BIMSTEC encompasses a wider range of sectors beyond just trade, promoting holistic regional cooperation.
  • Geostrategic Advantage: It connects South Asia with Southeast Asia, offering access to larger markets and investment opportunities.
  • Reduced Political Impediments: While challenges exist, BIMSTEC generally faces fewer intense political disputes compared to SAFTA.
  • Focus on Connectivity: BIMSTEC prioritizes infrastructure development and connectivity projects, crucial for facilitating trade.

Comparative Analysis

Feature SAFTA BIMSTEC FTA
Member States 8 (South Asia) 7 (South & Southeast Asia)
Political Climate Highly volatile, India-Pakistan tensions Relatively stable, fewer major disputes
Scope Primarily trade liberalization Multisectoral cooperation (trade, investment, energy, etc.)
Intra-regional Trade ~5% (2019) Potential for significant growth, currently lower but increasing
Implementation Slow and uneven More streamlined, with a focus on digital trade and connectivity

Political Feasibility

BIMSTEC benefits from a more conducive political environment. The absence of the intense India-Pakistan rivalry, a major impediment to SAFTA, allows for smoother negotiations and implementation. Thailand’s inclusion also brings a more developed economy and a different perspective to the grouping.

Economic Potential

BIMSTEC’s geographic location and diverse economies offer greater economic potential. Connecting South Asia with Southeast Asia unlocks access to larger markets and supply chains. The focus on connectivity projects, such as the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project linking India with Myanmar, enhances trade facilitation.

Implementation Challenges

While BIMSTEC appears more promising, it is not without challenges. These include:

  • Development Gaps: Significant disparities in economic development among member states require tailored approaches.
  • Infrastructure Deficits: Inadequate infrastructure, particularly in Myanmar and Nepal, hinders connectivity.
  • Coordination Issues: Effective coordination among seven diverse nations requires strong institutional mechanisms.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the BIMSTEC FTA demonstrably appears more promising than SAFTA due to its broader scope, reduced political impediments, and greater economic potential. While SAFTA has been plagued by political tensions and implementation challenges, BIMSTEC offers a more viable pathway to regional economic integration. However, realizing BIMSTEC’s full potential requires addressing development gaps, investing in infrastructure, and strengthening institutional coordination. Continued commitment from member states and a focus on inclusive growth are crucial for ensuring the long-term success of the BIMSTEC FTA.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Sensitive Lists
Lists of products that member countries exclude from tariff reductions under a free trade agreement, often to protect domestic industries.

Key Statistics

Intra-SAFTA trade constituted approximately 5.2% of the total trade of SAFTA member states in 2019.

Source: World Bank, 2021

BIMSTEC represents 22% of the world’s population and has a combined GDP of over US$1.5 trillion (as of 2023).

Source: BIMSTEC Secretariat

Examples

Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project

This project, initiated in 2008, aims to connect India's Northeast with the Sittwe port in Myanmar, providing an alternative route to bypass the Siliguri Corridor (Chicken's Neck).

Frequently Asked Questions

Why has SAFTA failed to achieve its objectives?

SAFTA’s failure stems from a combination of factors, including political tensions, extensive sensitive lists, non-tariff barriers, and uneven implementation across member states.