UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I201220 Marks
Q21.

Why does the point of intersection of IS and LM curves coincide with two markets?

How to Approach

This question requires a thorough understanding of the IS-LM model and its underlying assumptions. The approach should begin by defining the IS and LM curves, explaining what they represent, and then detailing how their intersection signifies simultaneous equilibrium in both the goods and money markets. The answer should emphasize the conditions necessary for this intersection to represent a stable macroeconomic equilibrium. A clear explanation of the markets involved – goods market and money market – is crucial.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The IS-LM model, developed by John Hicks and Alvin Hansen, is a foundational tool in macroeconomics used to analyze the relationship between interest rates, output, and the money supply. It depicts the interaction between the goods market (represented by the IS curve) and the money market (represented by the LM curve). The point where these two curves intersect is of paramount importance, as it signifies a unique combination of interest rate and output level where both markets are simultaneously in equilibrium. Understanding why this intersection represents two markets in equilibrium is central to grasping the model’s analytical power.

Understanding the IS and LM Curves

The IS curve (Investment-Saving) represents the equilibrium in the goods market. It shows all combinations of interest rates and output levels where planned investment equals planned saving. A lower interest rate encourages investment, leading to higher aggregate demand and output. Therefore, the IS curve slopes downwards. The IS curve is derived from the equilibrium condition: Y = C(Y-T) + I(Y,r) + G, where Y is output, C is consumption, T is taxes, I is investment (dependent on output and interest rate), G is government spending, and r is the interest rate.

The LM curve (Liquidity preference-Money supply) represents the equilibrium in the money market. It shows all combinations of interest rates and output levels where the demand for money equals the supply of money. Higher output levels increase the demand for money for transaction purposes, leading to higher interest rates. Thus, the LM curve slopes upwards. The LM curve is derived from the equilibrium condition: M/P = L(Y,r), where M is the money supply, P is the price level, and L is the liquidity preference (demand for money) which is dependent on output and interest rate.

The Intersection: Simultaneous Equilibrium

The point of intersection of the IS and LM curves represents the unique combination of interest rate (r*) and output level (Y*) at which both the goods market and the money market are simultaneously in equilibrium. This is because at this point, the conditions for equilibrium in both markets are satisfied.

Equilibrium in the Goods Market

At the intersection point, the interest rate (r*) is such that planned investment equals planned saving at the output level (Y*). This means that aggregate demand is equal to aggregate supply, and there is no unintended inventory accumulation or depletion. The goods market is in a state of rest.

Equilibrium in the Money Market

Similarly, at the intersection point, the output level (Y*) is such that the demand for money equals the money supply at the interest rate (r*). This means that individuals and firms are content to hold the amount of money they have, given the prevailing interest rate and level of economic activity. The money market is also in a state of rest.

Why Two Markets?

The intersection doesn’t merely represent a single equilibrium; it signifies the reconciliation of two distinct forces. The IS curve reflects the real side of the economy – production, consumption, investment – while the LM curve reflects the monetary side – money supply, liquidity preference, and interest rates. The intersection point is where these two sides of the economy are balanced. Any deviation from this point will create imbalances in either the goods market or the money market, leading to forces that push the economy back towards equilibrium.

For example, if the economy is operating at a point above the intersection, there is excess supply in the goods market (unintended inventory accumulation) and excess demand in the money market (pressure on interest rates to rise). This will lead to a decrease in investment and an increase in interest rates, moving the economy back towards the intersection.

Limitations and Extensions

It’s important to note that the basic IS-LM model makes several simplifying assumptions, such as a fixed price level. Extensions of the model, like the IS-LM-BP (Balance of Payments) model, incorporate the international sector and allow for exchange rate adjustments. However, the fundamental principle remains the same: the intersection of the curves represents simultaneous equilibrium in the relevant markets.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the point of intersection of the IS and LM curves is not merely a mathematical solution but a representation of a stable macroeconomic equilibrium where both the goods and money markets are simultaneously balanced. This intersection signifies the reconciliation of real and monetary forces within the economy, providing a powerful framework for understanding the interplay between interest rates, output, and the money supply. While the model has limitations, it remains a cornerstone of macroeconomic analysis.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Aggregate Demand
The total demand for goods and services in an economy at a given price level and time period.
Liquidity Trap
A situation in which monetary policy becomes ineffective because interest rates are already near zero, and further reductions fail to stimulate aggregate demand.

Key Statistics

India's GDP growth rate was 7.2% in FY23 (as per the National Statistical Office, Provisional Estimate of Annual National Income).

Source: National Statistical Office, 2023

India's fiscal deficit was 5.9% of GDP in FY23 (as per the revised estimates).

Source: Union Budget 2023-24

Examples

Impact of Repo Rate Changes

When the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) increases the repo rate (the rate at which it lends money to commercial banks), it increases the cost of borrowing for banks, which in turn increases interest rates for consumers and businesses. This leads to a decrease in investment and consumption, shifting the IS curve to the left and potentially lowering output.

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if the IS and LM curves are parallel?

If the IS and LM curves are parallel, it implies that changes in government spending or the money supply will have a larger impact on output than on interest rates, or vice versa, depending on the relative slopes of the curves.

Topics Covered

EconomicsMacroeconomicsIS-LM ModelMoney MarketGoods Market