UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I201212 Marks150 Words
Q18.

Show different stages of product life cycle. How do the shortcomings of diffusion lag of new technologies in recent years cause a time compression of the cycle?

How to Approach

This question requires understanding of the product life cycle and how technological advancements are altering its traditional phases. The answer should begin by outlining the stages of the product life cycle – introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. Then, it should explain the concept of diffusion lag and how its recent reduction, due to factors like rapid information dissemination and network effects, is compressing the time taken for products to move through these stages. Examples of recent technologies should be used to illustrate the point. A concise and structured approach is key.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The product life cycle (PLC) is a fundamental concept in marketing and economics, describing the stages a product goes through from its initial launch to its eventual withdrawal from the market. Traditionally, this cycle unfolded over considerable periods. However, the pace of technological innovation has dramatically accelerated in recent decades. This acceleration, coupled with the shrinking ‘diffusion lag’ – the time it takes for new technologies to be adopted by the masses – is causing a significant ‘time compression’ of the PLC, forcing businesses to adapt at an unprecedented rate. This phenomenon is particularly evident in the digital technology sector.

Stages of the Product Life Cycle

The product life cycle typically consists of four distinct stages:

  • Introduction: This stage involves launching the product, characterized by high costs, low sales, and limited competition. Focus is on building awareness.
  • Growth: Rapidly increasing sales, growing competition, and increasing profits define this stage. Marketing efforts focus on brand preference.
  • Maturity: Sales growth slows down, competition intensifies, and profits stabilize or decline. Emphasis shifts to differentiation and market share maintenance.
  • Decline: Sales and profits fall as the product loses relevance or is superseded by newer alternatives. Companies may choose to harvest, divest, or discontinue the product.

Diffusion Lag and its Shortcomings

Diffusion lag refers to the time gap between the invention of a new technology and its widespread adoption. Traditionally, this lag was substantial due to factors like:

  • Limited access to information
  • High initial costs
  • Lack of complementary infrastructure
  • Consumer resistance to change

However, recent advancements have significantly reduced this lag:

  • Digital Communication: The internet, social media, and mobile technologies facilitate rapid information dissemination, accelerating awareness and adoption.
  • Network Effects: The value of many new technologies increases as more people use them (e.g., social media platforms, communication apps), creating a positive feedback loop.
  • Reduced Costs: Falling prices of computing power and digital storage make new technologies more accessible.
  • Globalization: Faster global supply chains and increased international trade accelerate the spread of innovations.

Time Compression of the Product Life Cycle

The reduction in diffusion lag directly contributes to the time compression of the PLC. Products now move through the stages much faster. For example:

  • Smartphones: The first iPhone was launched in 2007. Within a few years, smartphones became ubiquitous, rapidly moving through all stages of the PLC. Subsequent iterations and innovations further compressed the cycle for individual models.
  • Streaming Services: Netflix, initially a DVD rental service, transitioned to streaming in the late 2000s. The growth phase was exceptionally rapid, disrupting the traditional cable TV industry and forcing competitors to adapt quickly.
  • Electric Vehicles (EVs): While EVs have been around for decades, the recent surge in adoption, driven by technological advancements in battery technology and government incentives, is compressing their PLC.

This compression presents both opportunities and challenges for businesses. They must be agile, invest heavily in research and development, and be prepared to rapidly innovate or face obsolescence. The traditional marketing strategies associated with longer PLC stages are becoming less effective.

Stage Traditional PLC Duration Compressed PLC Duration (Recent Tech)
Introduction Several Years Few Months
Growth 3-5 Years 1-2 Years
Maturity 5-10 Years 6-12 Months
Decline Variable Rapid, often within a year

Conclusion

The shrinking diffusion lag and the resulting time compression of the product life cycle are defining characteristics of the modern technological landscape. Businesses must embrace agility, continuous innovation, and data-driven decision-making to thrive in this dynamic environment. Understanding this shift is crucial for formulating effective marketing strategies and maintaining a competitive edge. The future will likely see even faster cycles, demanding even greater adaptability from firms and industries alike.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Product Life Cycle (PLC)
The stages a product goes through from introduction to decline, encompassing growth, maturity, and eventual withdrawal from the market.
Network Effect
The phenomenon whereby the value of a product or service increases as more people use it. This is particularly relevant for digital technologies like social media and communication platforms.

Key Statistics

Global smartphone shipments reached 1.17 billion units in 2022, demonstrating a mature but still significant market. (Source: Statista, as of knowledge cutoff 2023)

Source: Statista

The average lifespan of a company listed on the S&P 500 has decreased from 61 years in 1958 to less than 15 years today, reflecting the accelerating pace of disruption. (Source: Innosight, as of knowledge cutoff 2023)

Source: Innosight

Examples

Kodak

Kodak, a pioneer in photography, failed to adapt to the digital revolution despite inventing the first digital camera. Its reluctance to embrace the new technology led to its bankruptcy in 2012, illustrating the consequences of failing to navigate a compressed PLC.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does globalization impact the PLC?

Globalization accelerates the PLC by facilitating faster dissemination of information, quicker access to markets, and increased competition, leading to shorter cycle times.

Topics Covered

EconomicsInnovationProduct Life CycleTechnology DiffusionInnovation