UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-II201230 Marks300 Words
Q11.

What are the factors which determine the size and composition of national income ? In this respect contrast the scenarios between pre and post liberalisation periods.

How to Approach

This question requires a comparative analysis of the factors influencing national income size and composition before and after India’s liberalization in 1991. The answer should begin by defining national income and its components. Then, it should detail the factors determining it in both periods – pre-liberalization (characterized by a closed economy, public sector dominance, and planning) and post-liberalization (marked by openness, private sector growth, and market forces). A structured comparison highlighting the shifts in these factors is crucial. Focus on agriculture, industry, and the service sector's contributions.

Model Answer

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Introduction

National income represents the total value of goods and services produced by a country’s economy over a specific period, typically a year. It’s a key indicator of economic performance and well-being. The size and composition of national income are determined by a complex interplay of factors including resource endowment, technological progress, human capital, investment levels, and government policies. Prior to 1991, India’s national income was largely shaped by a centrally planned economy with a dominant public sector. However, the economic liberalization initiated in 1991 brought about a paradigm shift, fundamentally altering the determinants of national income and its sectoral composition. This answer will contrast these scenarios, highlighting the key changes.

Factors Determining National Income: Pre-Liberalization (Before 1991)

Before 1991, India operated under a mixed economy with a strong socialist leaning. The size of national income was constrained by several factors:

  • Limited Resource Mobilization: Heavy reliance on domestic savings and limited foreign investment due to restrictive policies.
  • Dominance of Public Sector: The public sector controlled key industries, often operating inefficiently and hindering growth.
  • Agricultural Dependence: The economy was heavily reliant on agriculture, which was vulnerable to monsoon failures and lacked modern technology. Agriculture contributed around 30-35% to GDP.
  • Restrictive Trade Policies: High tariffs and import restrictions limited competition and access to global markets.
  • Licence Raj: Complex licensing requirements stifled private sector investment and innovation.
  • Five-Year Plans: National income targets were largely determined by the goals set in the Five-Year Plans, often prioritizing social welfare over economic efficiency.

Factors Determining National Income: Post-Liberalization (After 1991)

The liberalization policies of 1991 ushered in a new era of economic growth and transformation. The key factors influencing national income post-1991 include:

  • Increased Foreign Investment: Liberalized FDI policies attracted significant foreign capital, boosting investment and growth.
  • Private Sector Growth: Deregulation and privatization fostered private sector entrepreneurship and competition.
  • Service Sector Expansion: The service sector, particularly IT and financial services, experienced rapid growth, becoming the dominant contributor to GDP.
  • Trade Liberalization: Reduced tariffs and trade barriers facilitated international trade and access to cheaper inputs.
  • Technological Advancement: Increased access to technology and innovation spurred productivity growth.
  • Human Capital Development: Investments in education and skill development enhanced the quality of the workforce.

Comparative Analysis: Pre vs. Post Liberalization

The following table summarizes the key differences:

Factor Pre-Liberalization (Before 1991) Post-Liberalization (After 1991)
Economic System Closed, Centrally Planned Open, Market-Oriented
Sectoral Contribution to GDP Agriculture (30-35%), Industry (20-25%), Services (15-20%) Services (over 50%), Industry (25-30%), Agriculture (15-20%)
Investment Primarily Public Sector Increased Private and Foreign Investment
Trade Policy Restrictive, High Tariffs Liberalized, Reduced Tariffs
Growth Rate “Hindu Rate of Growth” (3.5% per annum) Significantly Higher (6-8% per annum, with fluctuations)
Role of Technology Limited Access & Adoption Increased Access & Rapid Adoption

The shift from a predominantly agricultural economy to a service-led economy is perhaps the most significant change. The liberalization policies unleashed the potential of the private sector, leading to increased competition, innovation, and economic growth. However, this growth has not been without its challenges, including rising income inequality and regional disparities.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the size and composition of India’s national income have undergone a dramatic transformation since 1991. While pre-liberalization India was characterized by a closed economy, public sector dominance, and slow growth, post-liberalization India has embraced openness, private sector participation, and a service-led growth model. The factors determining national income have shifted from primarily domestic resource mobilization and planning to increased foreign investment, technological advancement, and market forces. Sustaining high growth rates and ensuring inclusive development remain key challenges for India in the future.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Gross National Income (GNI)
GNI is the total income earned by a country's residents, including income from abroad. It differs from GDP, which measures the value of goods and services produced within a country's borders.
Factor Endowment
Factor endowment refers to the resources a country possesses – such as land, labor, capital, and natural resources – which influence its production possibilities and economic structure.

Key Statistics

India's GDP growth rate averaged around 3.5% per year during the period 1950-1990, often referred to as the "Hindu rate of growth."

Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reports (Knowledge cutoff: 2023)

The service sector's contribution to India's GDP increased from around 15% in 1991 to over 54% in 2023.

Source: National Statistical Office (NSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (Knowledge cutoff: 2023)

Examples

The Indian IT Sector

The growth of the Indian IT sector post-liberalization is a prime example of how liberalization policies can transform an economy. The sector benefited from increased foreign investment, skilled labor, and access to global markets, becoming a major contributor to India’s national income.

Frequently Asked Questions

What were the main criticisms of the pre-liberalization economic model?

The pre-liberalization model was criticized for its inefficiency, bureaucratic red tape, lack of competition, and slow economic growth. The "Licence Raj" stifled innovation and entrepreneurship, while the dominance of the public sector led to wasteful spending and corruption.

Topics Covered

EconomyIndian EconomyNational IncomeEconomic GrowthEconomic Policy