UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I201420 Marks
Q12.

Compare the deposit multiplier with money multiplier. Is there any impact on money multiplier arising out of massive use of credit and debit cards?

How to Approach

This question requires a comparative analysis of the deposit multiplier and money multiplier, highlighting their mechanisms and differences. It also asks for an evaluation of the impact of digital payment systems (credit/debit cards) on the money multiplier. The answer should begin by defining both multipliers, explaining their formulas and underlying assumptions. Then, a detailed comparison should be made, followed by an analysis of how the increased velocity of money due to digital transactions affects the money multiplier. Structure the answer into introduction, comparison, impact of digital payments, and conclusion.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The money supply in an economy isn't simply printed currency; it's significantly influenced by the banking system's ability to create credit. This credit creation is amplified through the multiplier effect. Two key concepts explain this process: the deposit multiplier and the money multiplier. The deposit multiplier focuses on the expansion of deposits based on the reserve ratio, while the money multiplier considers the broader impact on the overall money supply. With the increasing prevalence of digital transactions via credit and debit cards, understanding how these systems affect the traditional money multiplier becomes crucial for effective monetary policy formulation.

Understanding the Multipliers

Both the deposit and money multipliers are based on the fractional reserve banking system, where banks are required to hold a certain percentage of deposits as reserves (the reserve ratio) and can lend out the rest.

The Deposit Multiplier

The deposit multiplier measures the maximum amount of new deposits that can be created by an initial deposit, given the reserve ratio. It is calculated as:

Deposit Multiplier = 1 / Reserve Ratio

For example, if the reserve ratio is 10% (0.1), the deposit multiplier is 10. This means an initial deposit of ₹100 can potentially lead to a total increase in deposits of ₹1000.

The Money Multiplier

The money multiplier is a broader concept than the deposit multiplier. It measures the maximum amount of increase in the overall money supply that can result from an initial increase in the monetary base (currency in circulation plus commercial banks’ reserves). It is calculated as:

Money Multiplier = 1 / (Reserve Ratio + Currency Drain Ratio)

The Currency Drain Ratio represents the proportion of money people prefer to hold as cash rather than deposit in banks. A higher Currency Drain Ratio reduces the money multiplier's effectiveness.

Comparing the Deposit Multiplier and Money Multiplier

The key differences between the two multipliers can be summarized in the following table:

Feature Deposit Multiplier Money Multiplier
Focus Expansion of deposits Expansion of the overall money supply
Formula 1 / Reserve Ratio 1 / (Reserve Ratio + Currency Drain Ratio)
Scope Narrower – considers only bank deposits Broader – considers both bank deposits and currency in circulation
Currency Held by Public Ignores Considers (through Currency Drain Ratio)

Impact of Credit and Debit Card Usage on the Money Multiplier

The widespread use of credit and debit cards significantly impacts the money multiplier, primarily by influencing the Currency Drain Ratio and the velocity of money.

  • Reduced Currency Drain: Credit and debit cards reduce the need for individuals to hold large amounts of cash. When people rely more on cards, the Currency Drain Ratio decreases. A lower Currency Drain Ratio increases the money multiplier, as a larger proportion of money is deposited in banks and available for lending.
  • Increased Velocity of Money: Digital transactions are generally faster and more frequent than cash transactions. This increases the velocity of money – the rate at which money changes hands in the economy. A higher velocity of money means that each unit of money is used for more transactions, amplifying the impact of the money multiplier.
  • Impact on Reserve Requirements: While not directly impacting the multiplier formula, the rise of digital payments and fintech companies has led to discussions about whether traditional reserve requirements are still appropriate. Some argue that reserves held by fintech firms should also be considered when calculating the reserve ratio.
  • Potential for Disintermediation: The growth of shadow banking and non-bank financial institutions (fintech lenders) could potentially disintermediate traditional banks, reducing their role in credit creation and potentially weakening the money multiplier effect.

However, it's important to note that the relationship isn't always straightforward. If increased credit card debt leads to higher levels of household debt and reduced consumer spending, it could offset some of the positive effects on the velocity of money.

Conclusion

In conclusion, while both the deposit and money multipliers are crucial concepts for understanding credit creation, the money multiplier provides a more comprehensive view of the money supply. The increasing use of credit and debit cards generally enhances the money multiplier by reducing the currency drain ratio and increasing the velocity of money. However, factors like rising household debt and the emergence of shadow banking need to be considered for a nuanced understanding of the impact. Central banks must continually monitor these dynamics to effectively manage monetary policy in a rapidly evolving financial landscape.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Reserve Ratio
The fraction of a bank’s deposits that it is legally required to keep in its account at the central bank or as cash in its vault.
Velocity of Money
The rate at which money is exchanged in an economy. It measures how many times, on average, a unit of money is used to purchase goods and services within a given time period.

Key Statistics

As of March 2023, digital payments accounted for approximately 75% of all non-cash transactions in India.

Source: RBI Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India (2022-23)

India's digital payment transactions grew by 46% year-on-year in FY23.

Source: Statista (as of knowledge cutoff)

Examples

COVID-19 Pandemic and Digital Payments

The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the adoption of digital payments globally as people sought to avoid physical contact. This led to a significant decrease in currency demand and an increase in bank deposits, potentially boosting the money multiplier in many economies.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the money multiplier always work in practice?

No, the money multiplier is a theoretical maximum. In reality, banks may choose to hold excess reserves, and borrowers may not always utilize the full amount of available credit, limiting the actual expansion of the money supply.