UPSC MainsPOLITICAL-SCIENCE-INTERANATIONAL-RELATIONS-PAPER-II201410 Marks150 Words
Q1.

Is India's quest for a permanent seat in the Security Council a possibility or just a pipedream? Elaborate with reasons.

How to Approach

This question requires a nuanced understanding of India’s foreign policy objectives, the structure of the UN Security Council, and the geopolitical realities influencing India’s bid. The answer should avoid simplistic optimism or pessimism. It needs to analyze both the supporting factors (India’s growing economic and political clout, its contributions to UN peacekeeping) and the hindering factors (opposition from existing permanent members, lack of consensus on expansion criteria). A structured approach – outlining India’s credentials, challenges, and potential pathways – is recommended.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The United Nations Security Council (UNSC), established in 1945, is tasked with maintaining international peace and security. Its composition, particularly the five permanent members (P5) – China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States – reflects the post-World War II power dynamics. India has long aspired to a permanent seat in the UNSC, viewing it as commensurate with its rising global stature and its significant contributions to international affairs. However, achieving this goal remains a complex undertaking, prompting the question: is India’s quest for a permanent seat a realistic possibility or merely an ambitious, yet unattainable, aspiration?

India’s Credentials and Justification

India’s claim to a permanent seat is based on several factors:

  • Economic Strength: As the world’s fifth-largest economy (IMF, 2023 data), India represents a significant portion of the global population and economic activity.
  • Population: With over 1.4 billion people, India accounts for approximately 18% of the world’s population, making it the most populous nation.
  • Peacekeeping Contributions: India is a leading contributor to UN peacekeeping operations, having deployed over 200,000 troops to 49 missions across the globe.
  • Commitment to Multilateralism: India consistently advocates for a rule-based international order and actively participates in various UN forums.
  • Responsible Nuclear Power: India’s demonstrated responsible behavior as a nuclear power adds to its credibility.

Challenges to India’s Bid

Despite its strong credentials, India faces significant hurdles:

  • Opposition from the P5: China has consistently opposed India’s bid, citing concerns about regional rivalry and India’s non-proliferation record. Other P5 members have expressed reservations about expanding the permanent membership.
  • Lack of Consensus on Expansion Criteria: There is no agreement on the criteria for expanding the UNSC, including the veto power. The ‘Uniting for Consensus’ group (including Italy, Pakistan, Mexico, and Egypt) opposes adding new permanent members and favors expanding the non-permanent category.
  • Regional Rivalries: Pakistan actively lobbies against India’s candidacy, highlighting concerns about regional instability. Brazil and South Africa also vie for permanent seats, creating competition.
  • Reform Fatigue: The UN system is often slow to adapt, and there is a general ‘reform fatigue’ among member states.

Potential Pathways and Strategies

India can pursue several strategies to enhance its chances:

  • Strengthening Alliances: Building stronger strategic partnerships with key countries, including the US, France, and Russia, can garner support for its bid.
  • Leading on Global Issues: Taking a proactive role in addressing global challenges like climate change, counter-terrorism, and pandemic preparedness can enhance India’s leadership credentials.
  • Promoting UNSC Reform: Actively engaging in discussions on UNSC reform and advocating for a more representative and effective Council.
  • Focusing on Non-Permanent Seat: Continuing to serve effectively on non-permanent seats to demonstrate its commitment and capabilities. India last served as a non-permanent member in 2021-22.

Geopolitical Considerations

The current geopolitical landscape, characterized by increasing multipolarity and great power competition, presents both opportunities and challenges. The weakening of the liberal international order and the rise of new power centers could create space for a more inclusive UNSC. However, the growing rivalry between the US and China could also complicate the reform process.

Factor Supports India’s Bid Challenges India’s Bid
Economic Growth Demonstrates India’s rising global influence Competition from other emerging economies
Peacekeeping Contributions Highlights India’s commitment to international security Doesn’t guarantee a permanent seat
P5 Support Crucial for overcoming opposition China’s consistent opposition

Conclusion

India’s quest for a permanent seat in the UNSC is undoubtedly challenging, but not entirely a pipedream. While significant obstacles remain, India’s growing economic and political weight, coupled with its consistent commitment to multilateralism, strengthens its case. Success hinges on navigating complex geopolitical dynamics, building strategic alliances, and actively promoting meaningful UNSC reform. A pragmatic approach, combining long-term strategic engagement with a focus on demonstrating leadership on global issues, offers the most promising path forward.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

P5
The ‘P5’ refers to the five permanent members of the UN Security Council: China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. They possess the power of veto, allowing them to block any substantive resolution.
Veto Power
The veto power held by the five permanent members of the UNSC allows any one of them to block the adoption of a resolution, even if it has the support of the other members.

Key Statistics

India contributed over 200,000 troops to 49 UN peacekeeping missions as of 2023.

Source: UN Peacekeeping website (as of knowledge cutoff)

India’s GDP is projected to reach $7.3 trillion by 2027, making it the third-largest economy globally.

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Report, October 2023 (as of knowledge cutoff)

Examples

India’s Role in the UN Peacekeeping Mission in Sierra Leone (UNAMSIL)

India played a crucial role in the UNAMSIL mission (1999-2005) in Sierra Leone, deploying a large contingent of troops and contributing significantly to the restoration of peace and stability in the country.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ‘Uniting for Consensus’ group?

The ‘Uniting for Consensus’ group is a coalition of countries that oppose the addition of new permanent members to the UNSC. They advocate for expanding the non-permanent category and improving the representation of developing countries.

Topics Covered

International RelationsIndian PolityGovernanceUN ReformMultilateralismForeign Policy