UPSC MainsPOLITICAL-SCIENCE-INTERANATIONAL-RELATIONS-PAPER-II201420 Marks
Q9.

Analyse the drivers of Indo - Russian relations in the post-Cold-War era.

How to Approach

This question requires a nuanced understanding of the historical and contemporary factors shaping Indo-Russian relations. The answer should move beyond a simple listing of agreements and delve into the underlying drivers – strategic, economic, and political. A chronological approach, dividing the post-Cold War era into phases, is recommended. Focus on how the changing global landscape and the individual priorities of both nations have influenced the relationship. Mentioning recent developments like the Ukraine conflict and its impact is crucial.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The relationship between India and Russia (formerly the Soviet Union) has been a cornerstone of India’s foreign policy for decades. Rooted in a shared Cold War strategic alignment, the partnership has remarkably endured even after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. While the geopolitical context has drastically altered, the drivers of this relationship have adapted, evolving from primarily strategic considerations to encompass economic, energy, and defense cooperation. Recent events, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have further tested and redefined the contours of this enduring partnership, prompting a re-evaluation of its future trajectory.

Early Post-Cold War Phase (1991-2000): Strategic Continuity & Economic Adjustment

The initial years following the Soviet Union’s dissolution were marked by uncertainty. However, India proactively pursued a ‘strategic partnership’ with Russia, recognizing its continued importance in India’s security calculus. Key drivers included:

  • Defense Cooperation: Russia remained India’s primary arms supplier, continuing the long-standing tradition. Major deals like the acquisition of the Admiral Gorshkov aircraft carrier (later INS Vikramaditya) were signed.
  • Strategic Alignment: Shared concerns regarding US unipolarity and a desire for a multipolar world order provided a common ground. Both nations opposed external interference in regional affairs.
  • Economic Transition: India sought to leverage Russia’s economic difficulties to secure favorable terms in trade and investment.

Phase of Deepening Engagement (2000-2014): Energy, Nuclear Cooperation & Institutionalization

This period witnessed a significant deepening of the relationship, characterized by increased economic and strategic cooperation.

  • Energy Security: India’s growing energy needs led to increased reliance on Russian oil and gas. Sakhalin-I project became a landmark example of energy cooperation.
  • Nuclear Cooperation: Russia played a crucial role in assisting India’s civilian nuclear program, particularly with the construction of the Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant.
  • Institutional Mechanisms: The annual summit between the leaders of both countries became a regular feature, providing a platform for strategic dialogue and decision-making. The Intergovernmental Commission on Military-Technical Cooperation (IMTC) further strengthened defense ties.
  • BRICS Cooperation: The formation of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) in 2009 provided a new platform for India-Russia cooperation on global issues.

The Phase of Navigating Geopolitical Shifts (2014-Present): Balancing Act & Emerging Challenges

This phase has been marked by increasing geopolitical complexities, including Western sanctions against Russia, India’s growing strategic partnership with the US, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

  • Balancing Act: India has attempted to maintain a delicate balance between its traditional ties with Russia and its growing strategic alignment with the US and other Western powers.
  • Continued Defense Procurement: Despite Western pressure, India continued to procure advanced Russian military equipment, including the S-400 air defense system.
  • Increased Trade in Rupees: In response to sanctions, India and Russia explored alternative payment mechanisms, including trade in national currencies (Rupees).
  • Arctic Cooperation: India has been actively involved in Russia’s Arctic initiatives, recognizing the region’s strategic importance.
  • Impact of Ukraine Conflict: The conflict has presented India with a significant diplomatic challenge. While India has called for a peaceful resolution, it has refrained from explicitly condemning Russia and has continued to purchase Russian oil, citing energy security concerns.
Phase Key Drivers Challenges
1991-2000 Strategic continuity, defense cooperation, economic adjustment Russia’s economic instability, Western influence
2000-2014 Energy security, nuclear cooperation, institutionalization, BRICS Growing US-India ties, Western concerns over Russia
2014-Present Balancing act, continued defense procurement, rupee trade, Arctic cooperation Ukraine conflict, Western sanctions, geopolitical complexities

Conclusion

Indo-Russian relations, forged in the crucible of the Cold War, have demonstrated remarkable resilience in the post-Soviet era. While the relationship has evolved, driven by shifting geopolitical realities and economic imperatives, its core elements – strategic autonomy, defense cooperation, and energy security – remain central. The ongoing Ukraine conflict presents a critical juncture, requiring India to navigate a complex landscape while safeguarding its national interests and upholding its long-standing partnership with Russia. The future of this relationship will likely be characterized by continued pragmatism, diversification of cooperation, and a commitment to a multipolar world order.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Strategic Autonomy
The ability of a nation to pursue its foreign policy objectives independently, without undue influence from other powers. India’s commitment to strategic autonomy is a key principle guiding its relations with Russia and other countries.
Multipolarity
A distribution of power in the international system where multiple states have significant influence, as opposed to a unipolar system dominated by a single superpower.

Key Statistics

India’s trade with Russia increased to over $35 billion in FY23, a significant rise from $13.8 billion in FY22, largely driven by increased oil imports.

Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of India (as of knowledge cutoff - 2023)

Russia accounts for approximately 40% of India’s total arms imports between 2018-2022.

Source: SIPRI Arms Trade Database (as of knowledge cutoff - 2023)

Examples

Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant

The Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant, built with Russian assistance, exemplifies the long-term strategic cooperation between India and Russia in the field of nuclear energy. It represents a significant contribution to India’s energy security.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does India justify its continued arms purchases from Russia despite Western sanctions?

India justifies its arms purchases from Russia based on its long-standing defense relationship, the reliability of Russian equipment, and the need to maintain its military preparedness. It also argues that it has diversified its arms imports and is not solely reliant on Russia.

Topics Covered

International RelationsIndian Foreign PolicyRussian Foreign PolicyArms TradeEnergy SecurityGeopolitics