UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I201520 Marks
Q12.

In the event of persistent inflation in an economy, what changes the Central Bank will bring about in (i) reserve ratios, (ii) bank rate and (iii) open market operations?

How to Approach

This question requires a detailed understanding of monetary policy tools used by the Central Bank (RBI in India) to control inflation. The answer should explain how each tool – reserve ratios, bank rate, and open market operations – is adjusted during persistent inflation. A clear explanation of the transmission mechanism (how these changes affect the economy) is crucial. Structure the answer by addressing each tool separately, explaining the change, the rationale, and the expected impact. Include recent examples where possible.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Inflation, a sustained increase in the general price level of goods and services in an economy, erodes purchasing power and can destabilize economic growth. Central Banks play a pivotal role in maintaining price stability. In India, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is mandated to maintain inflation within a target range (currently 4% with a tolerance band of +/- 2%). When faced with persistent inflation, the RBI employs a combination of monetary policy tools to curb demand and control price rises. These tools primarily operate by influencing the money supply and credit availability in the economy.

(i) Reserve Ratios

Reserve ratios refer to the percentage of a bank’s total deposits that it is required to keep with the central bank as reserves. There are two types: Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR).

  • Change during persistent inflation: The RBI increases both CRR and SLR.
  • Rationale: Increasing CRR reduces the amount of money banks have available for lending, thereby contracting the money supply. Similarly, a higher SLR forces banks to invest more in government securities, reducing their lending capacity.
  • Impact: This leads to higher borrowing costs, reduced credit availability, and a dampening effect on aggregate demand, ultimately helping to control inflation.

Example: In May 2022, the RBI increased the CRR to 8.1% from 4% to absorb excess liquidity in the banking system amidst rising inflation.

(ii) Bank Rate

The bank rate is the rate at which the central bank lends money to commercial banks. It serves as a signal of the monetary policy stance.

  • Change during persistent inflation: The RBI increases the bank rate.
  • Rationale: A higher bank rate makes borrowing more expensive for commercial banks. This increased cost is then passed on to their customers in the form of higher lending rates.
  • Impact: Higher lending rates discourage borrowing for investment and consumption, reducing aggregate demand and curbing inflationary pressures. It also incentivizes savings.

Example: The RBI has increased the bank rate multiple times in 2022-23, in line with its efforts to combat inflation. As of December 2023, the bank rate stands at 6.5%.

(iii) Open Market Operations (OMO)

Open Market Operations involve the buying and selling of government securities by the central bank in the open market.

  • Change during persistent inflation: The RBI sells government securities.
  • Rationale: When the RBI sells government securities, it takes money out of the banking system, reducing the money supply. Banks pay for these securities, decreasing their reserves.
  • Impact: This reduces the amount of money available for lending, leading to higher interest rates and a decrease in aggregate demand, thereby controlling inflation.

Example: The RBI frequently uses OMOs to manage liquidity in the market. In 2023, it actively sold government securities to absorb excess liquidity and manage inflationary pressures. Reverse Repo rate is also used as a tool under OMO.

The effectiveness of these tools can be influenced by factors such as the elasticity of demand for credit, the responsiveness of banks to policy changes, and global economic conditions. Furthermore, supply-side factors contributing to inflation (e.g., supply chain disruptions) may require complementary fiscal policy measures.

Tool Change during Inflation Mechanism Impact
Reserve Ratios (CRR & SLR) Increase Reduces banks’ lending capacity Contraction of money supply, higher borrowing costs
Bank Rate Increase Increases cost of borrowing for banks Higher lending rates, reduced borrowing
Open Market Operations Sell Government Securities Withdraws money from the banking system Reduced money supply, higher interest rates

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Central Bank employs a combination of reserve ratios, bank rate adjustments, and open market operations to combat persistent inflation. These tools work by influencing the money supply, credit availability, and interest rates, ultimately aiming to curb aggregate demand and stabilize prices. The optimal mix of these tools depends on the specific economic context and the nature of the inflationary pressures. A coordinated approach involving both monetary and fiscal policies is often necessary for sustained price stability and economic growth.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Quantitative Tightening (QT)
A contractionary monetary policy where a central bank reduces the amount of liquidity in the money supply by reducing its balance sheet. This is often done by allowing previously purchased assets to mature without reinvestment or by actively selling them.
Inflation Targeting
A monetary policy strategy where a central bank announces an explicit inflation target and commits to using its policy instruments to achieve that target.

Key Statistics

India's retail inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), averaged 6.7% in 2022-23 (RBI Annual Report 2022-23).

Source: Reserve Bank of India Annual Report 2022-23

The RBI adopted formal inflation targeting in 2016, aiming for 4% CPI inflation with a tolerance band of +/- 2%.

Source: RBI Notification, 2016

Examples

The Global Inflation Surge of 2022

The global surge in inflation in 2022, driven by supply chain disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war, prompted central banks worldwide (including the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England) to aggressively raise interest rates and tighten monetary policy.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between CRR and SLR?

CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio) is the percentage of deposits banks must hold in cash with the RBI, while SLR (Statutory Liquidity Ratio) is the percentage of deposits banks must hold in liquid assets like government securities. CRR is held in cash, while SLR can be held in both cash and approved securities.

Topics Covered

EconomyFinanceMonetary PolicyInflationBanking