UPSC MainsMANAGEMENT-PAPER-I201510 Marks
Q4.

What will be the optimal order quantity ? What will be the reorder point with a lead time of 3 days and service level of 99% ?

How to Approach

This question requires applying inventory management principles – specifically, the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) model and reorder point calculation. The approach should involve clearly stating the EOQ formula, identifying the necessary parameters (which are missing and need to be assumed for demonstration), calculating the EOQ, then calculating the reorder point using the given lead time and service level. The answer should demonstrate understanding of safety stock and its relation to service levels. Structure: Introduction, EOQ Calculation, Reorder Point Calculation, Conclusion.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Inventory management is a critical component of operations management, aiming to balance the costs of holding inventory with the risks of stockouts. Effective inventory control directly impacts a company’s profitability and customer satisfaction. Two key concepts in this regard are the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ), which determines the optimal order size to minimize total inventory costs, and the Reorder Point (ROP), which indicates when to place a new order to avoid stockouts. This answer will calculate the optimal order quantity and reorder point, given a lead time and desired service level, making necessary assumptions where data is missing.

Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) Calculation

The Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) is the order quantity that minimizes the total inventory costs, which include ordering costs and holding costs. The formula for EOQ is:

EOQ = √(2DS / H)

Where:

  • D = Annual Demand
  • S = Ordering Cost per Order
  • H = Holding Cost per Unit per Year

Since the annual demand (D), ordering cost (S), and holding cost (H) are not provided in the question, we will assume the following values for demonstration purposes:

  • D = 10,000 units
  • S = ₹50 per order
  • H = ₹5 per unit per year

Therefore:

EOQ = √(2 * 10,000 * 50 / 5) = √(200,000) = 447.21 units

Rounding this to the nearest whole number, the optimal order quantity is 447 units.

Reorder Point (ROP) Calculation

The Reorder Point (ROP) is the inventory level at which a new order should be placed. It is calculated as follows:

ROP = (Lead Time * Daily Demand) + Safety Stock

Where:

  • Lead Time = Time between placing an order and receiving it (in days)
  • Daily Demand = Average daily demand
  • Safety Stock = Extra inventory held to buffer against unexpected demand fluctuations or delays in lead time.

We are given a lead time of 3 days. We need to calculate daily demand and safety stock.

Calculating Daily Demand

Daily Demand = Annual Demand / Number of Working Days

Assuming 250 working days in a year:

Daily Demand = 10,000 / 250 = 40 units per day

Calculating Safety Stock

Safety Stock is determined by the desired service level. A 99% service level means that there is a 1% chance of a stockout. To calculate safety stock, we need to know the standard deviation of daily demand. Without this information, we will use a simplified approach based on the Z-score corresponding to a 99% service level.

The Z-score for a 99% service level is approximately 2.33 (obtained from standard normal distribution tables). We will assume a standard deviation of daily demand to be 5 units (this is an assumption for demonstration).

Safety Stock = Z-score * Standard Deviation of Daily Demand * √(Lead Time)

Safety Stock = 2.33 * 5 * √3 = 2.33 * 5 * 1.732 = 20.14 units

Rounding this to the nearest whole number, the safety stock is 20 units.

Calculating Reorder Point

ROP = (Lead Time * Daily Demand) + Safety Stock

ROP = (3 * 40) + 20 = 120 + 20 = 140 units

Therefore, the reorder point is 140 units.

Conclusion

In conclusion, based on the assumed values for annual demand, ordering cost, and holding cost, the optimal order quantity is 447 units. With a lead time of 3 days and a desired service level of 99%, the reorder point is calculated to be 140 units. It is crucial to remember that these calculations are highly sensitive to the input parameters. Accurate demand forecasting, cost analysis, and consideration of lead time variability are essential for effective inventory management and minimizing total costs.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)
The EOQ is an inventory management technique used to determine the optimal order quantity that minimizes the total inventory costs, including ordering costs and holding costs.
Reorder Point (ROP)
The ROP is the inventory level at which a new order should be placed to avoid stockouts, considering lead time and desired service level.

Key Statistics

Inventory costs typically represent 20-30% of total operating costs for many businesses (Source: APICS, 2023 - knowledge cutoff).

Source: APICS (Association for Supply Chain Management)

Companies using advanced inventory optimization techniques can reduce inventory levels by 20-50% while maintaining or improving service levels (Source: Gartner, 2022 - knowledge cutoff).

Source: Gartner

Examples

Dell's Just-in-Time Inventory

Dell pioneered a build-to-order system, minimizing inventory by only assembling computers after receiving customer orders. This drastically reduced holding costs and obsolescence risks.

Amazon's Inventory Management

Amazon utilizes sophisticated algorithms and a vast network of fulfillment centers to optimize inventory placement and delivery, ensuring fast shipping and minimizing stockouts.

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if the lead time is uncertain?

If the lead time is uncertain, a larger safety stock is required to buffer against potential delays. Statistical methods can be used to calculate safety stock based on the lead time distribution.

How does demand forecasting impact EOQ and ROP?

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial. Overestimating demand leads to excess inventory and higher holding costs, while underestimating demand results in stockouts and lost sales.

Topics Covered

Operations ManagementInventory ManagementEOQReorder PointInventory Control