UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I201615 Marks
Q20.

Technical Progress & Wage/Capital Returns

Technical progress in capital-intensive sector almost invariably reduces the real wage rate and increases the real return to capital. Technical progress in labour-intensive sector will lead to increase in real wage rate and decrease in the real return to capital." Explain.

How to Approach

This question tests understanding of growth theory, specifically the impact of technological progress on factor incomes (wages and capital returns). The approach should involve explaining the underlying economic principles – diminishing returns, factor substitution, and the nature of technological change. Structure the answer by first defining key concepts, then explaining the impact of capital-intensive vs. labour-intensive technological progress, using relevant economic models (like Solow-Swan) as a backdrop. Illustrate with examples.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Economic growth is fundamentally driven by factors like capital accumulation, labor force growth, and technological progress. Technological progress, however, doesn’t impact all sectors or factors of production equally. The nature of this progress – whether it’s capital-intensive or labour-intensive – has significant implications for the distribution of income between labour and capital. This question delves into this relationship, exploring how different types of technological advancements affect real wage rates and real returns to capital, a core concept in neoclassical growth theory. Understanding this dynamic is crucial for formulating effective economic policies aimed at inclusive growth.

Understanding the Core Concepts

Before analyzing the impact, it’s crucial to define key terms:

  • Real Wage Rate: The wage rate adjusted for inflation, representing the purchasing power of wages.
  • Real Return to Capital: The return on capital investments adjusted for inflation, representing the profitability of capital.
  • Capital-Intensive Sector: A sector that relies heavily on capital (machinery, equipment) relative to labor.
  • Labour-Intensive Sector: A sector that relies heavily on labor relative to capital.

Technical Progress in a Capital-Intensive Sector

When technical progress occurs in a capital-intensive sector, it means that the productivity of capital increases. This can be visualized using the Solow-Swan model. The increased productivity of capital leads to:

  • Increased Demand for Capital: Firms invest in the new, more productive capital, increasing the demand for capital goods.
  • Decreased Marginal Product of Labor: As capital becomes relatively cheaper and more efficient, firms substitute capital for labor. This reduces the marginal product of labor (the additional output produced by one more unit of labor).
  • Reduced Real Wage Rate: The decrease in the marginal product of labor translates into a lower real wage rate, as firms are willing to pay less for labor.
  • Increased Real Return to Capital: The increased productivity of capital leads to higher profits for capital owners, increasing the real return to capital.

Example: The automation of manufacturing processes using robotics (a capital-intensive technology) has led to increased productivity but also to job displacement and wage stagnation for many manufacturing workers in developed countries.

Technical Progress in a Labour-Intensive Sector

Conversely, when technical progress occurs in a labour-intensive sector, the productivity of labor increases. This leads to:

  • Increased Demand for Labor: Firms require more skilled and productive labor to operate the new technologies.
  • Increased Marginal Product of Labor: The increased productivity of labor raises the marginal product of labor.
  • Increased Real Wage Rate: The increase in the marginal product of labor allows firms to pay higher wages, leading to an increase in the real wage rate.
  • Decreased Real Return to Capital: As labor becomes relatively cheaper and more productive, firms may substitute labor for capital, reducing the demand for capital and lowering the real return to capital.

Example: Advances in agricultural techniques (like high-yielding varieties of seeds and improved irrigation) that increase labor productivity in farming can lead to higher wages for agricultural workers and potentially lower returns on investment in agricultural machinery.

Factor Substitution and Elasticity

The extent to which real wages and returns to capital change depends on the elasticity of substitution between capital and labor. If capital and labor are easily substitutable (high elasticity), the impact of technological progress on factor incomes will be more pronounced. If they are less substitutable (low elasticity), the impact will be smaller.

The Role of Skill-Biased Technological Change

It’s important to note that technological progress is often “skill-biased,” meaning it increases the demand for skilled labor more than unskilled labor. This can exacerbate income inequality even in labour-intensive sectors, as the benefits of increased productivity accrue primarily to skilled workers.

Table Summarizing the Effects

Sector Type of Technical Progress Real Wage Rate Real Return to Capital
Capital-Intensive Increases Capital Productivity Decreases Increases
Labour-Intensive Increases Labor Productivity Increases Decreases

Conclusion

In conclusion, the impact of technical progress on factor incomes is contingent upon the sector in which it occurs and the relative intensity of capital and labor. Capital-intensive progress tends to favor capital owners, while labour-intensive progress benefits workers. However, the reality is often more nuanced, with skill-biased technological change and varying degrees of factor substitutability playing crucial roles. Policymakers must consider these dynamics when designing strategies to promote inclusive growth and address income inequality, potentially through investments in education and skills development to ensure that the benefits of technological progress are widely shared.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Solow-Swan Model
A neoclassical growth model that explains long-run economic growth through capital accumulation, labor force growth, and technological progress.
Elasticity of Substitution
A measure of how easily one factor of production (e.g., labor) can be substituted for another (e.g., capital) while maintaining the same level of output.

Key Statistics

According to the World Bank, global automation could displace up to 85 million jobs by 2025.

Source: World Bank, 2019

The share of global income going to labor has declined in many countries over the past few decades, coinciding with the rise of automation and globalization.

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO), 2019 (knowledge cutoff)

Examples

The Green Revolution

The Green Revolution in India (1960s-1980s) involved labour-intensive technologies like high-yielding seeds and fertilizers, leading to increased agricultural productivity and wages for agricultural laborers.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does technological progress always lead to job losses?

Not necessarily. While some jobs may be displaced, technological progress can also create new jobs, particularly in sectors related to the development, implementation, and maintenance of the new technologies. However, the skills required for these new jobs may differ from those of the displaced workers, leading to structural unemployment.

Topics Covered

EconomicsGrowth TheoryLabor EconomicsTechnical ChangeWagesCapital Returns