UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-II201620 Marks150 Words
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Q20.

Monetary Policy in India is often criticised as ineffective because large part of the country is not yet monetised. Do you agree with the view? Give reasons.

How to Approach

This question requires a nuanced understanding of the Indian economy and the limitations of monetary policy. The approach should involve acknowledging the significant portion of the Indian economy that operates outside the formal banking system, thereby reducing the effectiveness of traditional monetary tools. The answer should discuss the reasons for this limited monetisation, its impact on monetary policy transmission, and potential alternative strategies. A balanced perspective acknowledging the role of monetary policy even in a less-than-fully-monetised economy is crucial. Structure: Introduction, reasons for limited monetisation & impact, effectiveness despite limitations, conclusion.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Monetary policy, primarily managed by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), aims to control inflation, maintain price stability, and foster economic growth through instruments like the repo rate, reverse repo rate, and Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR). However, its effectiveness in India is frequently questioned due to the substantial presence of the informal economy and a large segment of the population with limited access to formal banking services. This leads to a situation where a significant portion of economic transactions occur outside the purview of the formal financial system, diminishing the reach and impact of monetary policy interventions. The question asks us to evaluate the validity of this criticism, providing reasoned arguments.

Understanding Limited Monetisation

A large part of the Indian economy, particularly in rural areas, remains outside the formal banking system. This is due to several factors:

  • Low Financial Literacy: A significant portion of the population lacks understanding of formal financial products and services.
  • Limited Bank Branch Penetration: Despite improvements, bank branch density remains low in many rural and remote areas. As of March 2023, there were 160,068 branches of scheduled commercial banks in India (RBI data).
  • Informal Credit Systems: Reliance on informal sources of credit like moneylenders is prevalent, especially among small farmers and micro-enterprises.
  • Lack of Collateral: Many individuals and small businesses lack the collateral required to access formal credit.
  • Social Exclusion: Certain sections of society, like marginalized communities, face barriers to accessing formal financial services.

Impact on Monetary Policy Transmission

Limited monetisation weakens the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in several ways:

  • Reduced Demand for Credit: When a large segment of the population doesn’t have access to banking, changes in interest rates have a limited impact on overall demand for credit.
  • Weakened Deposit Mobilisation: Lower banking penetration means less savings are deposited in banks, reducing the funds available for lending.
  • Informal Interest Rates: Monetary policy primarily influences interest rates in the formal sector. Informal lenders often operate independently of these rates, rendering RBI’s interventions less effective.
  • Cash-Based Economy: A large cash-based economy reduces the effectiveness of monetary policy as it bypasses the banking system.

Effectiveness Despite Limitations

Despite these challenges, monetary policy isn’t entirely ineffective.

  • Influence on Formal Sector: Monetary policy still significantly impacts the formal sector, which constitutes a substantial part of the Indian economy. Changes in repo rates affect lending rates for large corporations and industries.
  • Indirect Effects: Monetary policy can have indirect effects on the informal sector through its impact on the formal sector. For example, lower interest rates for businesses can lead to increased investment and employment, benefiting the informal sector as well.
  • Financial Inclusion Initiatives: Government initiatives like Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY) are aimed at increasing financial inclusion, gradually expanding the reach of monetary policy. As of February 2024, PMJDY has over 51.8 crore accounts (Press Information Bureau).
  • Macroprudential Policies: RBI employs macroprudential policies to address systemic risks and maintain financial stability, which can complement traditional monetary policy.

Alternative Strategies

To enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy, a multi-pronged approach is needed:

  • Expanding Financial Inclusion: Continued efforts to increase access to banking services, particularly in rural areas.
  • Promoting Digital Payments: Encouraging the adoption of digital payment methods to reduce reliance on cash.
  • Strengthening Financial Literacy: Improving financial literacy among the population to promote informed financial decision-making.
  • Developing Credit Guarantee Schemes: Providing credit guarantees to encourage banks to lend to small businesses and individuals with limited collateral.

Conclusion

While the criticism that monetary policy is ineffective due to limited monetisation holds considerable weight, it’s an oversimplification. Monetary policy does exert influence, particularly on the formal sector, and its impact is growing with financial inclusion initiatives. However, its full potential remains constrained by the large informal economy. A holistic approach combining monetary policy with structural reforms aimed at expanding financial inclusion and promoting digital payments is crucial for maximizing its effectiveness and achieving sustainable economic growth.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Monetary Policy
The actions undertaken by a central bank to manipulate the money supply and credit conditions to stimulate or restrain economic activity.
Financial Inclusion
The availability and equality of opportunities to access financial services.

Key Statistics

As of 2023, approximately 58% of Indian adults have a bank account (World Bank Global Findex Database).

Source: World Bank Global Findex Database, 2023

The share of household debt held by formal financial institutions increased from 32.5% in 2012 to 48.6% in 2019 (RBI Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India).

Source: RBI Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India, 2019

Examples

Impact of Demonetization (2016)

The demonetization exercise in 2016, aimed at curbing black money, demonstrated the challenges of a cash-dependent economy. While it caused short-term disruption, it also spurred the adoption of digital payment methods.

Frequently Asked Questions

Can monetary policy alone solve the problem of limited monetisation?

No, monetary policy is just one piece of the puzzle. Structural reforms, financial inclusion initiatives, and improvements in financial literacy are equally important.

Topics Covered

EconomyFinanceMonetary PolicyFinancial InclusionRBI