UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I201720 Marks
Q12.

Explain the Keynesian and classical extreme monetary assumptions for showing their effects on the slope of the LM curve.

How to Approach

This question requires a comparative analysis of the Keynesian and Classical schools of thought concerning monetary policy and its impact on the LM curve. The answer should begin by defining the LM curve and its significance. Then, it should detail the core assumptions of both Classical and Keynesian economics regarding monetary factors like velocity of money, interest rate sensitivity, and price flexibility. Finally, it should explain how these differing assumptions translate into different slopes for the LM curve under each school of thought. A diagrammatic representation would be highly beneficial.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The Liquidity Preference-Money Supply (LM) curve, a cornerstone of the IS-LM model developed by John Hicks and Alvin Hansen, illustrates the relationship between interest rates and the quantity of money demanded. It represents combinations of interest rates and income levels where the money market is in equilibrium. The slope of the LM curve is crucial in determining the effectiveness of monetary policy. Classical and Keynesian economists hold fundamentally different views on the factors influencing this slope, stemming from their contrasting assumptions about how individuals and the economy respond to changes in the money supply. This answer will delineate these assumptions and their implications for the LM curve’s slope.

Keynesian Extreme Monetary Assumptions and the LM Curve

Keynesian economics, born out of the Great Depression, posits that the economy can be stuck in a prolonged period of insufficient aggregate demand. Keynesian assumptions regarding monetary policy are:

  • Sticky Prices and Wages: Prices and wages are assumed to be ‘sticky’ downwards, meaning they don’t adjust quickly to changes in demand. This implies that monetary policy changes primarily affect real interest rates, not prices, in the short run.
  • Interest Rate Sensitivity: Demand for money is highly sensitive to changes in the interest rate (high elasticity). This is due to the speculative demand for money – people hold money expecting interest rates to rise, reducing bond demand.
  • Stable Velocity of Money: While not strictly ‘stable’ in the short run, Keynesians acknowledge that velocity doesn’t change dramatically with small changes in income or interest rates.

These assumptions lead to a flat LM curve. A small change in the money supply results in a relatively large decrease in the interest rate, as the demand for money is highly responsive. The flat slope indicates that monetary policy is quite effective in stimulating aggregate demand, as lower interest rates encourage investment.

Classical Extreme Monetary Assumptions and the LM Curve

Classical economics, predating Keynes, assumes a self-regulating economy that tends towards full employment. Classical assumptions regarding monetary policy are:

  • Flexible Prices and Wages: Prices and wages adjust quickly and completely to changes in demand and supply. Any increase in the money supply is immediately reflected in higher prices, leaving real variables (like real interest rates) unchanged.
  • Low Interest Rate Sensitivity: Demand for money is relatively insensitive to changes in the interest rate (low elasticity). People primarily hold money for transaction purposes, and changes in interest rates have a limited impact on their money holdings.
  • Constant Velocity of Money: The velocity of money is assumed to be constant or at least highly predictable. Changes in the money supply directly translate into proportional changes in the price level (Quantity Theory of Money).

These assumptions result in a vertical LM curve. An increase in the money supply leads to a proportional increase in the price level, but has no effect on the real interest rate or output. The vertical slope signifies that monetary policy is ineffective in influencing real economic activity; it only causes inflation.

Comparative Table

Feature Keynesian Classical
Price & Wage Flexibility Sticky Flexible
Interest Rate Sensitivity of Money Demand High Low
Velocity of Money Relatively Stable Constant
LM Curve Slope Flat Vertical
Monetary Policy Effectiveness Effective Ineffective

Real-World Relevance and Synthesis

In reality, neither extreme holds perfectly. Modern economies exhibit characteristics of both schools of thought. In the short run, prices and wages are often sticky, giving monetary policy some effectiveness (supporting the Keynesian view). However, in the long run, prices and wages tend to adjust, diminishing the impact of monetary policy on real variables (supporting the Classical view). The slope of the LM curve, therefore, is likely to be somewhere between perfectly flat and perfectly vertical, depending on the time horizon and the specific economic conditions.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the contrasting assumptions of Keynesian and Classical economics regarding price flexibility, interest rate sensitivity, and velocity of money lead to drastically different implications for the slope of the LM curve. A flat LM curve, characteristic of the Keynesian model, suggests effective monetary policy, while a vertical LM curve, typical of the Classical model, indicates monetary policy neutrality. Understanding these differences is crucial for analyzing the potential impact of monetary policy interventions in various economic scenarios. Modern macroeconomic thought recognizes the limitations of both extremes and emphasizes a nuanced approach that considers both short-run and long-run effects.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

LM Curve
The LM curve represents the combinations of interest rates and income levels where the money market is in equilibrium. It shows the inverse relationship between interest rates and the quantity of money demanded.
Velocity of Money
Velocity of money is the rate at which money changes hands in an economy. It is calculated as nominal GDP divided by the money supply (V = P x Y / M, where P is the price level, Y is real GDP, and M is the money supply).

Key Statistics

In 2023, the US Federal Reserve increased the federal funds rate 5.25% to combat inflation, demonstrating the use of monetary policy. (Source: Federal Reserve Board, 2023)

Source: Federal Reserve Board

India's inflation rate, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), was 5.1% in January 2024, indicating the impact of monetary policy and supply-side factors on price levels. (Source: National Statistical Office, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation)

Source: National Statistical Office, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation

Examples

The Zero Lower Bound

During the 2008 financial crisis, many central banks lowered interest rates to near zero, demonstrating the limitations of monetary policy when interest rates cannot be lowered further (the zero lower bound). This situation highlighted the Keynesian argument that monetary policy can become ineffective in certain circumstances.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the IS-LM model?

The IS-LM model is a fundamental tool in macroeconomics used to analyze the interaction between the goods market (represented by the IS curve) and the money market (represented by the LM curve) to determine equilibrium levels of output and interest rates.

Topics Covered

EconomicsMacroeconomicsMonetary PolicyInterest RatesIS-LM Model