UPSC MainsGEOGRAPHY-PAPER-II201710 Marks150 Words
Q14.

Bring out the geopolitical implications of Doklam dispute in the context of Indo-China relations.

How to Approach

The question requires an analysis of the geopolitical ramifications of the Doklam standoff on Indo-China relations. A good answer will begin by briefly outlining the Doklam dispute, then delve into its impact on bilateral ties, regional power dynamics, and India’s strategic considerations. The answer should cover aspects like border management, trust deficit, impact on trade, and the broader implications for the India-China-Bhutan triangle. Structuring the answer chronologically, followed by thematic analysis, will be effective.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The Doklam plateau, a tri-junction area between India, China, and Bhutan, witnessed a 73-day standoff in 2017 triggered by China’s attempt to construct a road in the disputed territory. This incident, while resolved diplomatically, significantly impacted Indo-China relations, exposing underlying tensions and strategic mistrust. The dispute stemmed from differing interpretations of the 1996 and 2012 agreements regarding maintaining the status quo at the tri-junction until a mutually agreed boundary settlement. The Doklam issue wasn’t merely a territorial dispute; it became a symbol of China’s growing assertiveness and its attempts to alter the regional balance of power, thereby having profound geopolitical implications.

The Doklam Dispute: A Recap

The Doklam standoff began on June 16, 2017, when the Royal Bhutan Army (RBA) issued a protest against China’s road construction. India intervened, citing security concerns as the road construction threatened its strategic interests in the Siliguri Corridor (Chicken’s Neck), a narrow strip of land connecting India’s Northeast to the rest of the country. Both India and Bhutan viewed the road construction as a violation of the existing agreements.

Geopolitical Implications for Indo-China Relations

1. Increased Border Security Concerns & Military Posturing

The Doklam incident led to heightened military presence and infrastructure development along the India-China border. India accelerated its infrastructure projects in the border areas, including road construction and advanced landing grounds. China, in response, also bolstered its military presence and infrastructure. This has resulted in a continuous state of heightened alert and increased potential for future confrontations. According to reports (as of 2023 knowledge cutoff), both sides have deployed additional troops and equipment in the region.

2. Erosion of Trust & Diplomatic Setbacks

The standoff severely damaged the already fragile trust between India and China. Bilateral dialogues were stalled, and cooperation in various areas, including trade and investment, was affected. The incident highlighted the deep-seated differences in perceptions regarding border disputes and strategic objectives. The delay in resuming the next round of Special Representative talks on the boundary question further exacerbated the situation.

3. Impact on Regional Power Dynamics

The Doklam dispute brought Bhutan into the spotlight, highlighting its strategic importance in the region. India’s support for Bhutan during the standoff demonstrated its commitment to safeguarding Bhutan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. This strengthened the India-Bhutan relationship, but also raised concerns in China about India’s growing influence in the region. The incident also underscored the limitations of China’s influence in South Asia.

4. Implications for the India-China-Bhutan Triangle

The Doklam standoff complicated the already complex relationship between India, China, and Bhutan. China attempted to bilaterally resolve the border dispute with Bhutan, bypassing India, which Bhutan resisted. This highlighted the importance of trilateral dialogue to address the issue comprehensively. The incident underscored the need for a mutually acceptable solution that takes into account the concerns of all three countries.

5. Strategic Implications for India

The Doklam standoff reinforced India’s strategic concerns about China’s growing military and economic power. It prompted India to strengthen its strategic partnerships with other countries, including the United States, Japan, and Australia, through initiatives like the Quad (Quadrilateral Security Dialogue). India also focused on enhancing its military capabilities and improving its border infrastructure to deter future Chinese aggression.

Post-Doklam Developments

While the immediate standoff was resolved, the underlying issues remain. The Wuhan Informal Summit in 2018 and the Chennai Informal Summit in 2019 aimed to improve bilateral relations, but progress on border resolution has been slow. The Galwan Valley clash in 2020 further deteriorated relations, demonstrating that the Doklam incident was not an isolated event but a symptom of deeper systemic issues. The current situation (as of late 2023) involves ongoing military and diplomatic talks, but a lasting resolution remains elusive.

Aspect Impact of Doklam
Border Security Increased military presence & infrastructure development
Bilateral Trust Significant erosion of trust & stalled dialogues
Regional Dynamics Strengthened India-Bhutan ties & concerns in China
India’s Strategy Enhanced strategic partnerships & military modernization

Conclusion

The Doklam dispute served as a stark reminder of the complexities and sensitivities inherent in Indo-China relations. While the immediate crisis was averted, the incident left a lasting impact on bilateral ties, regional power dynamics, and India’s strategic calculations. The incident underscored the need for greater transparency, dialogue, and a commitment to peaceful resolution of border disputes. Moving forward, a stable and constructive relationship between India and China is crucial for regional peace and prosperity, but this requires addressing the underlying issues of trust deficit and differing strategic perceptions.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Status Quo
In the context of the Doklam dispute, 'status quo' refers to the existing situation before China began constructing the road, implying no unilateral alteration of the ground position.

Key Statistics

India-China trade reached $135.98 billion in 2022-23, despite ongoing tensions (Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, India).

Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, India

India’s defense budget for 2023-24 is INR 5.94 lakh crore, reflecting a significant increase in allocation towards border infrastructure and military modernization (Source: Union Budget 2023-24).

Source: Union Budget 2023-24

Examples

South China Sea Dispute

Similar to the Doklam dispute, the South China Sea dispute involves overlapping territorial claims and assertive actions by China, demonstrating a pattern of behavior aimed at altering the status quo.

Frequently Asked Questions

What role did Bhutan play in the Doklam standoff?

Bhutan protested China’s road construction as it violated its sovereignty and threatened its security. India intervened in support of Bhutan, upholding its commitment to Bhutan’s territorial integrity.

Topics Covered

International RelationsPolityIndia-China RelationsBorder DisputesGeopoliticsInternational Security