UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-II201820 Marks
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Q9.

Reflect on issues and implications of structural transformation in India's national income.

How to Approach

This question requires a nuanced understanding of structural transformation – the shift in economic activity from agriculture to manufacturing and services – and its implications for India’s national income. The answer should define structural transformation, trace its historical trajectory in India, analyze the issues hindering it (e.g., labor laws, infrastructure deficits), and discuss the implications for income distribution, employment, and economic growth. A balanced approach acknowledging both the benefits and challenges is crucial. Structure: Introduction, Historical Trends, Issues, Implications, Conclusion.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Structural transformation is a fundamental process in economic development, characterized by a reallocation of economic activity from the primary (agriculture) to the secondary (manufacturing) and tertiary (services) sectors. This shift typically accompanies increases in per capita income and improvements in living standards. In India, while the services sector has witnessed significant growth, the manufacturing sector’s contribution to national income has remained relatively stagnant, creating an unusual pattern of structural change. This has led to debates about the nature of India’s growth and its sustainability, particularly in the context of achieving inclusive and employment-generating economic expansion. The recent focus on ‘Make in India’ and Production Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes aim to address this imbalance.

Historical Trends in Structural Transformation in India

Historically, India’s economic structure was overwhelmingly agrarian. Prior to independence in 1947, over 70% of the workforce was employed in agriculture, contributing a similar proportion to the national income. The post-independence period saw a gradual shift, driven by policies like the Green Revolution (mid-1960s) which boosted agricultural productivity and released labor for other sectors. However, the pace of transformation was slower compared to other Asian economies like South Korea or China.

  • 1950-1980: Slow transformation, focus on import substitution industrialization. Agriculture remained dominant.
  • 1980-1991: Moderate acceleration due to liberalization measures, but manufacturing growth remained limited.
  • 1991-2000s: Rapid growth of the services sector, particularly IT and business process outsourcing (BPO). Manufacturing growth remained subdued – a phenomenon termed ‘premature deindustrialization’.
  • 2000s-Present: Continued dominance of the services sector. Recent initiatives like ‘Make in India’ and PLI schemes aim to boost manufacturing.

Issues Hindering Structural Transformation

Several factors have impeded a more balanced structural transformation in India:

Supply-Side Constraints

  • Infrastructure Deficits: Inadequate power supply, transportation networks (roads, railways, ports), and logistics infrastructure increase production costs and hinder competitiveness.
  • Labor Laws: Rigid labor laws, particularly the Industrial Disputes Act, 1947, make it difficult for firms to scale up or down production, discouraging investment in manufacturing.
  • Land Acquisition: Complex and time-consuming land acquisition processes create hurdles for establishing manufacturing facilities.
  • Access to Finance: Small and medium enterprises (SMEs), which are crucial for manufacturing growth, often face difficulties in accessing affordable credit.

Demand-Side Constraints

  • Low Domestic Demand: Limited purchasing power among a large section of the population restricts domestic demand for manufactured goods.
  • Global Competitiveness: Indian manufacturing often struggles to compete with lower-cost producers in countries like China and Vietnam.

Sectoral Imbalances

The disproportionate growth of the services sector, while contributing to national income, has not generated sufficient employment opportunities for the large pool of unskilled and semi-skilled labor released from agriculture. This has led to a phenomenon of ‘jobless growth’.

Implications of Structural Transformation (or Lack Thereof)

The unique pattern of structural transformation in India has several implications:

  • Income Distribution: The services sector tends to be more skill-intensive, leading to widening income inequality. Those with higher education and skills benefit disproportionately from the growth of this sector.
  • Employment: The lack of robust manufacturing growth limits the creation of employment opportunities for the large number of workers migrating from agriculture.
  • Economic Growth: While the services sector has driven growth, its sustainability is questionable without a strong manufacturing base. Manufacturing has higher multiplier effects and can contribute to export diversification.
  • Balance of Payments: Reliance on services exports makes India vulnerable to global economic shocks and changes in demand for IT and BPO services. A strong manufacturing sector can boost exports and improve the balance of payments.
Sector Contribution to GDP (2022-23) Employment Share (2021-22)
Agriculture 18.3% 45.8%
Industry 24.3% 24.7%
Services 57.4% 29.5%

(Source: Economic Survey 2022-23, PIB)

Conclusion

India’s structural transformation has been atypical, characterized by a rapid expansion of the services sector alongside a relatively stagnant manufacturing sector. Addressing the supply-side and demand-side constraints hindering manufacturing growth is crucial for achieving inclusive and sustainable economic development. Policies aimed at improving infrastructure, reforming labor laws, facilitating land acquisition, and promoting skill development are essential. A balanced approach that leverages the strengths of the services sector while simultaneously fostering a robust manufacturing base is vital for ensuring long-term economic prosperity and equitable income distribution. The success of initiatives like PLI schemes will be key in reshaping India’s economic structure.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Premature Deindustrialization
A phenomenon where a country experiences a decline in manufacturing employment share even at relatively low levels of per capita income, often due to the rapid growth of the services sector and competition from cheaper imports.
Multiplier Effect
The multiplier effect refers to the idea that an initial injection of spending into the economy (e.g., government investment in manufacturing) can lead to a larger increase in overall economic activity as the money circulates through the economy.

Key Statistics

India’s manufacturing sector contributes around 17-18% to the GDP, significantly lower than China’s 31% and Germany’s 23% (as of 2022).

Source: World Bank Data (Knowledge Cutoff: 2023)

India’s share of global manufacturing output is around 3.1%, significantly lower than China’s 28.7% (2021).

Source: UNIDO (Knowledge Cutoff: 2023)

Examples

Vietnam’s Manufacturing Success

Vietnam has successfully attracted foreign investment in manufacturing by offering competitive labor costs, streamlined regulations, and a stable political environment, leading to significant export growth and economic development.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why hasn’t India’s manufacturing sector grown as rapidly as its services sector?

Factors include infrastructure deficits, rigid labor laws, complex land acquisition processes, and a lack of competitiveness in global markets. The focus on services, particularly IT, also diverted investment away from manufacturing.

Topics Covered

EconomyDevelopmentEconomic DevelopmentSectoral ShiftsNational Income