UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I201920 Marks
Q15.

What are the features based on which the new trade theories are built that are distinctly different from the old theories?

How to Approach

This question requires a comparative analysis of old and new trade theories. The approach should begin by briefly outlining the classical trade theories (like Mercantilism, Absolute Advantage, Comparative Advantage). Then, systematically detail the features of new trade theories (like Product Life Cycle, Strategic Trade Policy, Gravity Model, New New Trade Theory) and highlight how they differ from the classical ones. Focus on aspects like economies of scale, imperfect competition, role of technology, and differentiated products. A structured comparison will be key to scoring well.

Model Answer

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Introduction

International trade has been a cornerstone of economic growth for centuries, with evolving theories attempting to explain its patterns and benefits. Early trade theories, dating back to Mercantilism in the 16th century, focused on national wealth accumulation through trade surpluses. These were later refined by Adam Smith’s Absolute Advantage and David Ricardo’s Comparative Advantage, emphasizing specialization and efficiency. However, these classical models proved inadequate in explaining the complexities of modern trade, particularly the rise of intra-industry trade and the role of multinational corporations. This led to the development of ‘new’ trade theories, which incorporate more realistic assumptions about market structures and firm behavior.

Classical Trade Theories: A Recap

Classical trade theories, dominant until the mid-20th century, were built on several core assumptions:

  • Perfect Competition: Numerous firms, homogenous products, and free entry/exit.
  • Constant Returns to Scale: Doubling inputs doubles output.
  • Factor Mobility: Factors of production (labor, capital) can move freely within a country but not between countries.
  • Price-Cost Margins: Firms operate at zero economic profit.
  • Static Analysis: Theories largely ignored dynamic factors like technological change.

Key theories included:

  • Mercantilism (16th-18th Century): Emphasized maximizing exports and minimizing imports to accumulate gold and silver.
  • Absolute Advantage (Adam Smith, 1776): Countries should specialize in producing goods where they have an absolute cost advantage.
  • Comparative Advantage (David Ricardo, 1817): Countries should specialize in producing goods where they have a lower opportunity cost, even if they don’t have an absolute advantage.

New Trade Theories: Distinctive Features

New trade theories emerged in the 1980s, challenging the assumptions of classical models. They are characterized by:

1. Economies of Scale

Unlike classical theories, new trade theories recognize the importance of economies of scale – the reduction in average costs as production increases. This leads to:

  • Increased Returns to Scale: Doubling inputs more than doubles output.
  • Monopolistic Competition: Firms have some market power due to differentiated products.
  • Intra-Industry Trade: Countries trade similar products with each other (e.g., different brands of cars).

Example: The automobile industry demonstrates economies of scale. High fixed costs in setting up manufacturing plants necessitate large production volumes to lower average costs. This encourages firms to export to multiple markets.

2. Imperfect and Monopolistic Competition

Classical models assumed perfect competition. New trade theories acknowledge that many industries are characterized by imperfect competition, particularly monopolistic competition. This means:

  • Firms have some control over prices.
  • Products are differentiated (real or perceived).
  • Barriers to entry exist.

3. Role of Technology and Innovation

New trade theories emphasize the role of technology and innovation in driving trade patterns.

  • Product Life Cycle Theory (Ray Vernon, 1966): New products are first produced in developed countries, then production shifts to developing countries as the product matures.
  • Technological Diffusion: Trade facilitates the spread of technology and knowledge.

4. Strategic Trade Policy

This theory, developed by Krugman (1986), argues that governments can strategically intervene in trade to promote domestic firms and gain a competitive advantage. This involves:

  • Subsidies: Providing financial assistance to domestic firms.
  • Tariffs: Imposing taxes on imports.
  • Export Promotion: Encouraging exports through various incentives.

Example: The European Union’s Airbus received substantial government subsidies to compete with Boeing in the aircraft market.

5. Gravity Model

The Gravity Model, borrowed from physics, suggests that trade between two countries is positively related to their economic size and negatively related to the distance between them. This model is empirically robust and explains a significant portion of world trade flows.

6. New New Trade Theory

This builds on the earlier new trade theories by incorporating firm heterogeneity and the role of global value chains. It emphasizes that firms within an industry differ in their productivity and efficiency, and that trade allows firms to specialize and integrate into global production networks.

Feature Old Trade Theories New Trade Theories
Competition Perfect Competition Imperfect/Monopolistic Competition
Returns to Scale Constant Increasing
Product Differentiation Homogenous Differentiated
Role of Technology Limited Significant
Government Intervention Minimal Potential for Strategic Intervention

Conclusion

In conclusion, new trade theories represent a significant departure from classical models by incorporating more realistic assumptions about market structures, economies of scale, and the role of technology. They provide a more nuanced understanding of modern trade patterns, particularly the prevalence of intra-industry trade and the strategic use of trade policies. While classical theories remain valuable for understanding basic principles of comparative advantage, new trade theories are essential for analyzing the complexities of the globalized economy and formulating effective trade strategies.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Comparative Advantage
An economic principle stating that a country should specialize in producing goods and services for which it has the lowest opportunity cost.
Opportunity Cost
The value of the next best alternative foregone when making a choice.

Key Statistics

Global trade in goods and services reached $38.2 trillion in 2022.

Source: World Trade Organization (WTO), 2023

In 2022, the share of world trade accounted for by developing countries was 73%.

Source: UNCTAD, Trade and Development Report 2023

Examples

Intra-Industry Trade in Automobiles

Germany and Japan both export and import automobiles to each other. This is an example of intra-industry trade, where countries trade similar but differentiated products.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are classical trade theories completely irrelevant today?

No, classical theories provide a foundational understanding of comparative advantage and the benefits of specialization. However, they are insufficient to explain the complexities of modern trade, which is why new trade theories are necessary.

Topics Covered

EconomyInternational TradeTrade TheoryGlobalizationComparative Advantage