UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I202020 Marks
Q12.

You are given the data on the following variables in an economy: Government spending = 300, Planned investment = 200, Net exports = 50, Autonomous taxes = 250, Income-tax rate = 0.1, Marginal propensity to consume = 0.5

How to Approach

This question requires calculating the equilibrium level of income using the Keynesian model. The approach involves understanding the components of aggregate expenditure (AE) and using the multiplier effect to determine the impact of changes in autonomous spending. The answer should clearly define the relevant concepts, present the calculations step-by-step, and interpret the results. Focus on demonstrating the understanding of the underlying economic principles rather than just arriving at the numerical answer.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The Keynesian model of income determination posits that the level of national income is determined by the intersection of aggregate demand and aggregate supply. A crucial component of aggregate demand is aggregate expenditure (AE), which comprises consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports. Changes in autonomous spending – spending independent of income – trigger a multiplier effect, leading to a larger change in equilibrium income. Understanding this mechanism is vital for policymakers aiming to stabilize the economy. This answer will calculate the equilibrium income given the provided data, demonstrating the application of the Keynesian model.

Calculating Equilibrium Income using the Keynesian Model

The Keynesian model expresses equilibrium income (Y) as the sum of aggregate expenditure (AE):

Y = C + I + G + NX

Where:

  • Y = National Income
  • C = Consumption
  • I = Investment
  • G = Government Spending
  • NX = Net Exports

However, consumption is not autonomous; it depends on income through the marginal propensity to consume (MPC). Therefore, we can express consumption as:

C = a + bY

Where:

  • a = Autonomous Consumption
  • b = Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)

1. Determining Autonomous Consumption (a)

We are given government spending (G = 300), planned investment (I = 200), net exports (NX = 50), autonomous taxes (T = 250), income tax rate (t = 0.1), and MPC (b = 0.5). To find autonomous consumption (a), we need to consider the disposable income and the consumption function.

Disposable Income (YD) = Y - T

Consumption (C) = a + bYD = a + b(Y - T)

We can rewrite the equilibrium income equation as:

Y = a + b(Y - T) + I + G + NX

Rearranging to solve for Y:

Y = a + bY - bT + I + G + NX

Y - bY = a - bT + I + G + NX

Y(1 - b) = a - bT + I + G + NX

Y = (a - bT + I + G + NX) / (1 - b)

Since we don't have Y directly, we need to find 'a' first. However, we can proceed by assuming an initial value for Y and iterating, or by recognizing that the tax component affects disposable income and thus consumption. Let's proceed by substituting the given values and solving for 'a' assuming we are looking for the equilibrium income.

2. Calculating the Multiplier

The Keynesian multiplier (k) is calculated as:

k = 1 / (1 - b)

k = 1 / (1 - 0.5) = 1 / 0.5 = 2

3. Calculating Equilibrium Income (Y)

First, we need to calculate the autonomous expenditure (A):

A = I + G + NX - bT

A = 200 + 300 + 50 - (0.5 * 250)

A = 550 - 125 = 425

Now, we can calculate the equilibrium income (Y):

Y = k * A

Y = 2 * 425 = 850

4. Considering Taxes

The inclusion of taxes requires a slight adjustment. The actual disposable income is Y(1-t). Therefore, the consumption function becomes C = a + bY(1-t). Substituting this into the equilibrium income equation:

Y = a + bY(1-t) + I + G + NX

Y = a + 0.5Y(1-0.1) + 200 + 300 + 50

Y = a + 0.45Y + 550

0.55Y = a + 550

To find 'a', we need to assume a value for Y. However, we can also express the equilibrium income in terms of autonomous expenditure, adjusted for taxes. The tax multiplier is -b/(1-b). The change in autonomous expenditure is I + G + NX - tT. Since we are given autonomous taxes, we need to adjust for the tax rate. The effective autonomous expenditure is:

A = I + G + NX - tT

A = 200 + 300 + 50 - (0.1 * 250)

A = 550 - 25 = 525

Now, the equilibrium income is:

Y = k * A = 2 * 525 = 1050

Therefore, the equilibrium income is 1050.

Conclusion

In conclusion, using the Keynesian model, we have calculated the equilibrium income for the given economy to be 1050. This calculation demonstrates the importance of autonomous spending and the multiplier effect in determining the overall level of economic activity. The inclusion of taxes reduces the multiplier effect and consequently lowers the equilibrium income. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for effective macroeconomic policy formulation, particularly in managing aggregate demand and stabilizing the economy.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
The proportion of an increase in disposable income that an individual consumes rather than saves. It ranges between 0 and 1.
Autonomous Expenditure
Expenditure that does not vary with the level of national income. It includes investment, government spending, and net exports.

Key Statistics

India's MPC is estimated to be around 0.7-0.8 (as of 2023), indicating a relatively high propensity to consume.

Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reports, 2023

In FY23, the Indian government's capital expenditure increased by 33% compared to the previous year, aiming to boost aggregate demand and stimulate economic growth.

Source: Economic Survey 2023-24

Examples

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009

This stimulus package, enacted in response to the 2008 financial crisis, aimed to boost aggregate demand through increased government spending and tax cuts, demonstrating the application of Keynesian principles.

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if the MPC is zero?

If the MPC is zero, the multiplier is 1. This means that any change in autonomous spending will have an equal, but not magnified, impact on equilibrium income. This scenario represents a situation where individuals save all additional income and do not increase consumption.