UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I202015 Marks
Q19.

Briefly state the Kaldor's theory of distribution in determining the share of profit and the share of wages in national income. Explain the mechanism behind Kaldor's model.

How to Approach

This question requires a detailed understanding of Kaldor's distribution theory, a post-Keynesian economic model. The answer should begin by defining the theory and its core assumptions. Then, it should explain the mechanism through which the shares of profit and wages are determined, focusing on the role of capital accumulation, savings, and the propensity to save. A clear explanation of the 'stylized facts' underpinning the model is crucial. The answer should be concise and focused on the core mechanism.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Nicholas Kaldor, a prominent post-Keynesian economist, developed a theory of distribution in the 1950s and 60s that attempts to explain the long-run shares of profit and wages in national income. Unlike neoclassical theories that rely on marginal productivity, Kaldor’s model focuses on the dynamics of capital accumulation and the behavioral characteristics of capitalists and workers. It posits that these shares are not determined by forces of supply and demand in individual markets, but rather by macroeconomic factors and class behavior. This theory gained prominence as an alternative to the prevailing neoclassical distribution theories.

Kaldor’s Theory of Distribution: A Detailed Explanation

Kaldor’s theory rests on several ‘stylized facts’ about modern capitalist economies:

  • Constant Capital-Output Ratio (v): The ratio of capital stock to output remains relatively stable in the long run.
  • Constant Share of Profits (π): The share of profits in national income tends to be stable over time.
  • Constant Real Wage Rate (w): The real wage rate tends to grow at the same rate as productivity.
  • Propensity to Save (s): Capitalists have a higher propensity to save than workers.

The Mechanism Behind the Model

The core mechanism of Kaldor’s model revolves around the interaction between capital accumulation, savings, and the propensity to save. The model can be explained in the following steps:

1. Investment and Capital Accumulation

Investment (I) is the driving force behind capital accumulation. The level of investment is determined by the level of savings in the economy. According to Kaldor, savings are generated by both capitalists and workers, but the propensity to save differs significantly between the two classes.

2. Savings and the Propensity to Save

Let:

  • π = Share of profits in national income
  • (1-π) = Share of wages in national income
  • sc = Propensity to save out of profits (capitalists)
  • sw = Propensity to save out of wages (workers)

Total savings (S) in the economy are given by:

S = πsc + (1-π)sw

Since capitalists have a higher propensity to save (sc > sw), an increase in the profit share (π) will lead to higher overall savings.

3. Equilibrium and Distribution

In equilibrium, savings must equal investment (S = I). Investment is determined by the capital-output ratio (v) and the rate of growth (g):

I = vΔY = vgY (where Y is output)

Therefore, πsc + (1-π)sw = vgY

Kaldor demonstrates that the share of profits (π) is determined by the following equation:

π = (sc - sw) / (sc - sw + (sw/v))

This equation shows that the profit share is determined by the difference in the propensities to save between capitalists and workers, and the capital-output ratio. A higher difference in propensities to save, or a lower capital-output ratio, will lead to a higher profit share.

4. Wage Share Determination

The wage share (1-π) is, therefore, inversely related to the profit share. Kaldor argues that the wage share is determined by the rate of growth and the capital-output ratio, alongside the savings propensities. If productivity grows, wages will grow at the same rate, maintaining the real wage rate. However, the distribution of this growth between profits and wages is determined by the factors mentioned above.

Implications and Limitations

Kaldor’s model suggests that the distribution of income is not a natural outcome of market forces but is shaped by class behavior and macroeconomic conditions. It implies that policies aimed at reducing income inequality should focus on altering the savings behavior of capitalists and workers, or influencing the capital-output ratio. However, the model has been criticized for its simplifying assumptions, particularly the constancy of the capital-output ratio and the propensities to save. Furthermore, it doesn’t fully account for the role of technological change and international trade.

Conclusion

Kaldor’s theory of distribution provides a valuable alternative to neoclassical explanations, emphasizing the role of macroeconomic factors and class behavior in determining income shares. While the model’s assumptions have been debated, it offers a compelling framework for understanding the long-run dynamics of profit and wage shares in capitalist economies. Its insights remain relevant for policymakers seeking to address income inequality and promote sustainable economic growth.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Stylized Facts
Simplified, observable features of an economy that are considered to be generally true, used as a basis for building economic models.
Capital-Output Ratio
A ratio that measures the amount of capital required to produce one unit of output. It is a key indicator of the efficiency of capital utilization.

Key Statistics

According to the World Inequality Database (2023), the share of the top 1% in national income in India was 22.2% in 2021.

Source: World Inequality Database (2023)

India's Gross Capital Formation (GCF) as a percentage of GDP was 31.8% in 2022-23 (Provisional Estimates).

Source: National Statistical Office (NSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, 2023

Examples

Post-War Japan

Post-World War II Japan experienced rapid capital accumulation and a relatively stable profit share, aligning with Kaldor’s stylized facts. The high savings rate, particularly among businesses, fueled investment and growth.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Kaldor’s model account for technological change?

Kaldor’s original model doesn’t explicitly incorporate technological change. However, later extensions of the model attempt to integrate the impact of technological progress on the capital-output ratio and productivity growth.