UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I202010 Marks150 Words
Q2.

Distinguish between post-Keynesian approaches to horizontalist and structuralist theory of endogenous money supply.

How to Approach

This question requires a nuanced understanding of post-Keynesian monetary theory. The approach should involve first defining endogenous money and then differentiating between the horizontalist and structuralist perspectives. Focus on how each school of thought explains the determination of the money supply, the role of banks, and the constraints on monetary policy. A comparative structure, potentially using a table, will be beneficial. Mentioning key thinkers associated with each approach (e.g., Kaldor for horizontalism, Moore for structuralism) will add depth.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Endogenous money theory challenges the traditional Quantity Theory of Money, which posits a fixed relationship between the money supply and nominal income. Instead, it argues that the money supply is determined *within* the economic system, responding to demand for credit. Post-Keynesian economists further developed this idea, leading to distinct horizontalist and structuralist approaches. Both reject the central bank’s ability to directly control the money supply, but they differ in their explanations of the mechanisms through which money is created and the constraints faced by banks in the lending process. This answer will delineate these differences, highlighting their implications for monetary policy.

Horizontalist Approach

The horizontalist approach, pioneered by Nicholas Kaldor, views the banking system as passively accommodating demand for loans up to a certain point. Banks are seen as having a ‘horizontal’ supply curve of loans at the prevailing interest rate. The money supply expands as firms and households demand credit for investment and consumption. However, this expansion is constrained by the ‘liquidity preference’ of the public – the desire to hold money rather than lend it.

  • Key Features: Banks are profit maximizers, lending freely until they reach their liquidity preference constraint. The central bank influences the money supply indirectly through interest rate policy.
  • Money Creation: Money is created through the extension of bank credit, driven by the demand for loans.
  • Constraints: The primary constraint is the willingness of the non-bank public to hold additional bank liabilities (deposits). If the public becomes unwilling to hold more deposits, banks cannot expand lending.

Structuralist Approach

The structuralist approach, developed by Basil Moore, offers a more complex and institutionally-focused explanation of endogenous money. It emphasizes the *structure* of the financial system and the specific roles played by different financial institutions. Moore argues that the money supply is determined by the demand for financing investment, but this demand is channeled through a complex network of financial intermediaries.

  • Key Features: The financial system is segmented, with different institutions catering to different types of borrowers. Banks are not simply passive lenders; they actively manage their balance sheets and respond to regulatory constraints.
  • Money Creation: Money is created through the financing of investment. The demand for finance originates in the corporate sector, and banks respond by creating credit.
  • Constraints: Constraints are not simply liquidity preference, but also include capital adequacy requirements, reserve requirements, and the profitability of lending. The structure of the financial system itself imposes limits on the money supply.

Comparative Table

Feature Horizontalist Structuralist
Bank Behavior Passive lenders, profit maximizers Active balance sheet managers, respond to regulations
Key Constraint Liquidity preference of the public Financial structure, capital adequacy, profitability
Focus Aggregate demand for loans Structure of the financial system and investment financing
Role of Central Bank Indirect influence through interest rates Limited direct control; influences structure through regulation
Key Thinker Nicholas Kaldor Basil Moore

Furthermore, the structuralist approach highlights the importance of financial innovation and deregulation in altering the constraints on money supply. Changes in the financial landscape can significantly impact the effectiveness of monetary policy. For example, the rise of shadow banking has created new channels for credit creation outside the traditional banking system, making it more difficult for central banks to control the money supply.

Conclusion

Both horizontalist and structuralist post-Keynesian approaches offer valuable insights into the complexities of endogenous money. While the horizontalist model provides a simplified framework emphasizing liquidity preference, the structuralist approach offers a more realistic and nuanced understanding of the role of financial institutions and the constraints on money creation. Recognizing these differences is crucial for formulating effective monetary policy in a world where the money supply is not simply controlled by the central bank, but rather emerges from the interactions within the financial system. Future research should focus on integrating these perspectives to better understand the evolving dynamics of money and credit.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Endogenous Money
Money supply is determined within the economic system as a result of the demand for credit, rather than being externally controlled by the central bank.
Liquidity Preference
The desire of individuals and firms to hold money in liquid form (cash or checking accounts) rather than investing it in less liquid assets.

Key Statistics

In 2023, the broad money supply (M3) in India grew by 12.2% (RBI data, as of November 2023).

Source: Reserve Bank of India

India's Non-Performing Assets (NPAs) in the banking sector were around 3.2% of gross advances as of March 2023 (RBI Financial Stability Report).

Source: RBI Financial Stability Report (2023)

Examples

The 2008 Financial Crisis

The 2008 financial crisis demonstrated the limitations of central bank control over the money supply. Despite aggressive monetary easing, credit markets froze, and the money supply contracted sharply due to a collapse in demand for loans and a loss of confidence in the financial system.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does endogenous money theory imply that monetary policy is ineffective?

Not necessarily. While central banks cannot directly control the money supply, they can still influence it indirectly through interest rate policy, reserve requirements, and regulation of the financial system. However, the effectiveness of these tools is contingent on the structure of the financial system and the behavior of banks and borrowers.