UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I202010 Marks150 Words
Q22.

In the context of international trade theory, discuss in detail the various stages of the international product life cycle.

How to Approach

This question requires a detailed understanding of the International Product Life Cycle (IPLC) theory. The answer should systematically outline the stages – New Product, Growing Export, Mature Product, Declining Product – explaining the characteristics of each stage, the competitive landscape, and the location of production. Focus on providing examples to illustrate each stage. Structure the answer chronologically, dedicating a paragraph to each stage. Mention the limitations of the model as well.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The International Product Life Cycle (IPLC) theory, developed by Raymond Vernon in 1966, explains the pattern of international trade based on the stage of a product’s life cycle. It posits that the location of production and trade patterns shift over time as a product matures. Initially, new products are born in developed countries, benefiting from innovation and high income elasticity of demand. As the product gains popularity, production shifts to less developed countries to leverage lower labor costs. Understanding this cycle is crucial for formulating effective trade and industrial policies.

Stage 1: New Product

The IPLC begins with the introduction of a new product, typically in a developed country like the US, Germany, or Japan. This stage is characterized by high research and development (R&D) costs, sophisticated production processes, and a relatively small market size. Demand is concentrated among high-income consumers. The innovating country enjoys a monopoly and exports the product to other developed nations. Production is highly centralized and focused on quality and innovation. For example, the initial production of smartphones was concentrated in the US and Japan.

Stage 2: Growing Export

As demand for the product increases, exports expand beyond developed countries to include less developed countries (LDCs). The innovating country continues to dominate production, but some competition begins to emerge from other developed nations. Economies of scale are realized, leading to lower production costs. The focus shifts from product innovation to process innovation to maintain competitiveness. The initial export of LCD televisions from Japan to various countries exemplifies this stage.

Stage 3: Mature Product

This stage witnesses a significant increase in competition, with firms from LDCs beginning to enter the market. Production starts shifting to LDCs due to lower labor costs and the standardization of the product. The innovating country’s share of production and exports declines. Price competition intensifies, and the product becomes more commoditized. The focus shifts to cost reduction and marketing. The production of textiles and garments moved from developed countries to countries like Bangladesh and Vietnam during this stage.

Stage 4: Declining Product

In the final stage, demand for the product declines in both developed and developing countries. Production shifts almost entirely to LDCs with the lowest labor costs. The innovating country may import the product from LDCs. Competition is fierce, and firms struggle to maintain profitability. Eventually, the product may be discontinued. The production of basic toys and simple electronics largely shifted to China and other Southeast Asian countries in this stage.

Limitations of the IPLC Model

  • The model doesn’t account for rapid technological advancements that can shorten product life cycles.
  • It assumes a unidirectional flow of trade from developed to developing countries, which isn’t always the case.
  • Global value chains and fragmented production processes challenge the model’s assumption of centralized production.
  • The rise of emerging economies as innovation hubs contradicts the model’s initial premise.

Despite its limitations, the IPLC provides a valuable framework for understanding the dynamic relationship between trade, innovation, and economic development.

Conclusion

The International Product Life Cycle theory, while facing challenges in the modern globalized economy, remains a useful tool for analyzing trade patterns and understanding the evolution of industries. The shift in production locations, driven by cost considerations and technological advancements, continues to shape international trade. However, policymakers must consider the model’s limitations and adapt strategies to address the complexities of global value chains and emerging economies’ increasing role in innovation.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Economies of Scale
Economies of scale refer to the cost advantages that enterprises obtain due to their scale of operation, with increasing production leading to decreasing average costs.
Commoditization
Commoditization refers to the process where goods or services become indistinguishable from one another, leading to price competition and reduced profit margins.

Key Statistics

In 2022, China accounted for 28.7% of global manufacturing output, highlighting its role as a major production hub.

Source: UNIDO (United Nations Industrial Development Organization)

Global trade in manufactured goods reached $19.5 trillion in 2022, demonstrating the significant role of international trade in the global economy.

Source: World Trade Organization (WTO), 2023

Examples

Automobile Industry

The automobile industry initially saw innovation and production concentrated in the US, Europe, and Japan. Over time, production shifted to countries like Mexico, South Korea, and China due to lower labor costs and growing domestic markets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the IPLC model still relevant today?

While the original model has limitations, the core concept of shifting production locations based on cost and maturity remains relevant. However, it needs to be adapted to account for global value chains and the rise of innovation in emerging economies.