UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I202210 Marks150 Words
Q15.

Stating major assumptions in the Kaldor model of disbribution, establish that share of profits in national income depends on the ratio of investment to total output.

How to Approach

This question requires a demonstration of understanding of the Kaldor model of distribution. The approach should begin by outlining the core assumptions of the model. Then, it should explain the mechanism through which the investment-output ratio influences the share of profits. A clear and concise explanation of the key relationships within the model is crucial. The answer should be structured logically, starting with assumptions, moving to the core relationship, and concluding with a brief summary.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The theory of distribution, a cornerstone of macroeconomics, attempts to explain how national income is divided among the factors of production – wages, profits, rent, and interest. Nicholas Kaldor, a prominent post-Keynesian economist, developed a model in 1957 that provides a dynamic framework for understanding income distribution. Unlike traditional neoclassical models, Kaldor’s model emphasizes the role of capital accumulation and the investment-output ratio in determining the share of profits. This model posits that the share of profits is not determined by marginal productivity but by macroeconomic variables, specifically the ratio of investment to total output.

Major Assumptions of the Kaldor Model

The Kaldor model rests on several key assumptions:

  • Constant Returns to Scale: The production function exhibits constant returns to scale, meaning that a proportional increase in inputs leads to a proportional increase in output.
  • Fixed Capital-Output Ratio (v): A crucial assumption is that the capital-output ratio (v) remains relatively stable. This implies a consistent relationship between the amount of capital employed and the level of output produced.
  • Constant Savings Rate (s): The propensity to save out of income is assumed to be constant across all income classes.
  • Wage-Profit Ratio (w): The ratio of wages to profits is assumed to be determined by institutional factors and is relatively stable.
  • Closed Economy: The model typically assumes a closed economy, meaning there are no international trade flows.

The Relationship Between Investment, Output, and Profit Share

Kaldor’s model establishes a direct link between the share of profits and the investment-output ratio. The core logic can be explained as follows:

  1. Investment and Capital Accumulation: Investment increases the capital stock.
  2. Capital-Output Ratio: Given the fixed capital-output ratio (v), an increase in the capital stock leads to a proportional increase in output.
  3. Savings and Investment Equality: In equilibrium, total savings must equal total investment.
  4. Profit Share Determination: The share of profits (π) is determined by the following equation:

    π = s * v

    Where:

    • π = Share of profits in national income
    • s = Aggregate savings rate
    • v = Capital-output ratio (Investment/Output)

    This equation demonstrates that the share of profits is directly proportional to both the aggregate savings rate and the capital-output ratio. A higher investment-output ratio (v) implies a greater proportion of income is being invested, leading to a higher share of profits. Conversely, a lower investment-output ratio results in a lower profit share.

Mechanism Explained

The model suggests that if investment increases relative to output (higher 'v'), the demand for capital rises. This increased demand pushes up the rate of return on capital, leading to a larger share of income accruing to capitalists as profits. Conversely, if investment falls relative to output (lower 'v'), the demand for capital decreases, reducing the rate of return on capital and shrinking the profit share. The wage-profit ratio remains relatively stable due to institutional factors like labor union bargaining power and minimum wage laws.

Limitations

While insightful, the Kaldor model has limitations. The assumption of a fixed capital-output ratio is often criticized as unrealistic in the long run due to technological progress. Furthermore, the model's focus on macroeconomic variables may overlook microeconomic factors influencing income distribution. The closed economy assumption also limits its applicability to modern, open economies.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Kaldor model provides a compelling explanation of how the share of profits in national income is determined by the investment-output ratio. By emphasizing the role of capital accumulation and macroeconomic variables, it offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional neoclassical theories of distribution. While the model has its limitations, it remains a valuable tool for understanding the dynamics of income distribution and the influence of investment decisions on profit shares.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Capital-Output Ratio
The capital-output ratio (v) is a measure of the amount of capital required to produce one unit of output. It is calculated as Capital Stock / Total Output.
Propensity to Save
The propensity to save is the proportion of disposable income that is saved rather than spent. It is a key determinant of aggregate savings in an economy.

Key Statistics

India's Investment-to-GDP ratio has fluctuated significantly in recent decades. In FY23, it stood at approximately 31.3% (Source: National Statistical Office, 2023).

Source: National Statistical Office, 2023

According to the World Bank, India's Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) as a percentage of GDP was around 31% in 2022 (Source: World Bank Data, 2022).

Source: World Bank Data, 2022

Examples

Post-WWII Japan

Japan’s rapid economic growth in the post-World War II era was characterized by high levels of investment, leading to a significant increase in the capital-output ratio and a corresponding rise in the share of profits in national income.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the Kaldor model account for technological progress?

The basic Kaldor model assumes a fixed capital-output ratio, which doesn't explicitly account for technological progress. However, extensions of the model attempt to incorporate technological change and its impact on the capital-output ratio and income distribution.

Topics Covered

EconomicsMacroeconomicsDistribution of IncomeGrowth TheoryInvestment