UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-II202210 Marks150 Words
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Q11.

Do you think that Indian development planning is a transition from centralised planning to indicative planning and subsequently to market based development? Explain.

How to Approach

This question requires a historical perspective on Indian economic planning. The answer should trace the evolution from the highly centralized planning model adopted post-independence, through the shift towards indicative planning in the 1980s, and finally to the market-oriented reforms of the 1990s and beyond. Structure the answer chronologically, highlighting the key features of each phase and the factors driving the transitions. Mention the role of crises and changing global economic scenarios. Focus on how the role of the state has changed in each phase.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Indian development planning, initiated with the launch of the First Five-Year Plan in 1951, was initially rooted in a strong belief in the efficacy of centralized planning, inspired by the Soviet model. This approach prioritized state-led investment and industrialization. However, over time, the limitations of this model became apparent, leading to a gradual transition. This transition wasn’t abrupt but rather a series of shifts – first towards indicative planning, acknowledging market signals, and subsequently towards a more market-based development strategy initiated by the liberalization reforms of 1991. This evolution reflects a pragmatic adaptation to changing economic realities and a reassessment of the state’s role in economic development.

Phase 1: Centralized Planning (1951-1980)

The initial phase, spanning the first five decades post-independence, was characterized by a highly centralized planning model. The Planning Commission, established in 1950, played a pivotal role in formulating five-year plans, allocating resources, and setting economic targets. Key features included:

  • State Control: Dominance of the public sector in key industries like steel, power, and transportation.
  • Import Substitution: Emphasis on developing domestic industries to reduce reliance on imports.
  • Licensing Raj: Extensive licensing requirements for businesses, leading to bureaucratic delays and inefficiencies.
  • Focus on Heavy Industry: Prioritization of capital-intensive heavy industries over consumer goods and agriculture.

This model, while achieving some initial successes in building a basic industrial base, faced increasing challenges like slow growth, bureaucratic bottlenecks, and a lack of innovation.

Phase 2: Indicative Planning (1980s)

The 1980s witnessed a gradual shift towards indicative planning. This involved a greater recognition of market forces and a move away from rigid central control. Key changes included:

  • Deregulation: Some relaxation of licensing requirements and other regulations.
  • Increased Private Sector Participation: Encouragement of private sector investment in certain areas.
  • Focus on Export Promotion: Shift from import substitution to export-led growth.
  • Emphasis on Technology Upgradation: Recognizing the importance of technological advancements.

However, this transition was incomplete and faced limitations due to political constraints and a lack of comprehensive reforms. The balance of payments crisis of 1991 ultimately forced a more radical shift.

Phase 3: Market-Based Development (1991-Present)

The economic crisis of 1991 triggered a major shift towards a market-based development strategy. The liberalization reforms, initiated under Prime Minister P.V. Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister Manmohan Singh, involved:

  • Dismantling of the License Raj: Abolition of most industrial licensing requirements.
  • Privatization: Sale of public sector undertakings (PSUs) to private investors.
  • Financial Sector Reforms: Deregulation of the financial sector and opening up to foreign investment.
  • Trade Liberalization: Reduction of tariffs and removal of quantitative restrictions on imports.
  • Foreign Exchange Liberalization: Devaluation of the rupee and liberalization of foreign exchange controls.

Subsequent governments have continued to refine these reforms, with a greater emphasis on infrastructure development, skill development, and social sector programs. The role of the state has evolved from being a direct controller of the economy to a facilitator and regulator.

Comparison of the Phases

Feature Centralized Planning (1951-1980) Indicative Planning (1980s) Market-Based Development (1991-Present)
Role of State Dominant, direct control Facilitator, regulator Facilitator, regulator, policy maker
Private Sector Limited role Increased participation Dominant role
Market Forces Limited recognition Growing recognition Central role
Trade Policy Import substitution Export promotion Open trade

Conclusion

Indian development planning has undeniably undergone a significant transition, moving from a highly centralized, state-led model to one increasingly driven by market forces. While the initial phase laid the foundation for industrial development, its limitations necessitated a shift towards a more pragmatic and flexible approach. The reforms of 1991 marked a watershed moment, ushering in an era of market-based development. However, the state continues to play a crucial role in addressing social inequalities, providing public goods, and regulating the economy. The future of Indian development planning will likely involve a continued balancing act between market efficiency and social justice.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Indicative Planning
A system of planning where the government provides guidelines and incentives to encourage private sector investment in desired areas, rather than directly controlling production and allocation of resources.
License Raj
A complex system of licenses, permits, and regulations that controlled various aspects of economic activity in India from the 1950s to the 1980s, hindering industrial growth and fostering corruption.

Key Statistics

India's average GDP growth rate increased from 3.5% during the centralized planning period (1950-1980) to over 6% after the 1991 reforms.

Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reports, as of 2023 knowledge cutoff

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows increased significantly after 1991, rising from less than $1 billion in 1990-91 to over $80 billion in 2021-22.

Source: Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT), Government of India, as of 2023 knowledge cutoff

Examples

The Green Revolution

While occurring during the centralized planning phase, the Green Revolution (mid-1960s) demonstrated the potential of targeted government intervention (subsidies, irrigation) combined with market incentives (higher yields) to boost agricultural production.

Frequently Asked Questions

Did the shift to market-based development lead to increased inequality?

While economic growth accelerated, the market-based reforms also contributed to increased income inequality, particularly in the initial years. This has prompted subsequent policy interventions aimed at inclusive growth and poverty reduction.

Topics Covered

EconomyEconomic PlanningEconomic ReformsLiberalization