UPSC MainsGENERAL-STUDIES-PAPER-II202215 Marks250 Words
Q14.

Besides the welfare schemes, India needs deft management of inflation and unemployment to serve the poor and the underprivileged sections of the society. Discuss.

How to Approach

This question requires a nuanced understanding of the Indian economy and its impact on vulnerable populations. The approach should be to first acknowledge the importance of welfare schemes, then elaborate on why managing inflation and unemployment are equally, if not more, crucial for sustainable poverty reduction. The answer should discuss the mechanisms through which these macroeconomic factors affect the poor, citing relevant data and policies. A structure of Introduction, Body (covering inflation, unemployment, and their interplay with welfare schemes), and Conclusion is recommended.

Model Answer

0 min read

Introduction

India has a long history of welfare schemes aimed at alleviating poverty and improving the lives of its underprivileged citizens. Programs like the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) and the Public Distribution System (PDS) are cornerstones of this approach. However, relying solely on these schemes is insufficient. While crucial for immediate relief, they address the *symptoms* of poverty rather than its root causes. Persistent inflation erodes the purchasing power of the poor, negating the benefits of welfare transfers, and high unemployment limits opportunities for upward mobility. Therefore, deft management of these macroeconomic factors is paramount to truly serve the poor and underprivileged.

The Impact of Inflation on the Poor

Inflation disproportionately affects the poor due to several reasons. Firstly, a larger proportion of their income is spent on essential commodities like food and fuel. According to the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) 70th round (2013), the share of food expenditure in total household expenditure is significantly higher for the bottom 20% of the population compared to the top 20%. Secondly, the poor often lack access to financial instruments that can hedge against inflation. Rising prices diminish the real value of wages and social security benefits, effectively reducing their standard of living. For example, the recent surge in edible oil prices in 2022 significantly impacted low-income households.

The Challenge of Unemployment

Unemployment, particularly disguised unemployment in the agricultural sector, is a chronic problem in India. According to the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) 2022-23, the unemployment rate was 3.2% but youth unemployment remains a significant concern. Lack of employment opportunities limits income generation and perpetuates poverty. It also leads to social unrest and vulnerability to exploitation. Furthermore, unemployment hinders human capital development, as prolonged periods of joblessness lead to skill erosion. The impact is particularly severe for marginalized communities who face systemic barriers to employment.

Interplay with Welfare Schemes

Welfare schemes can provide a safety net, but their effectiveness is diminished by high inflation and unemployment. For instance, increased MGNREGA wages are rendered less impactful if the prices of essential goods rise simultaneously. Similarly, skills development programs under the Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana (PMKVY) are less effective if there are insufficient job opportunities for trained individuals. A holistic approach requires coordinating welfare schemes with macroeconomic policies aimed at controlling inflation and creating employment.

Policy Recommendations

  • Supply-Side Management: Addressing supply bottlenecks in agriculture and manufacturing to curb inflation. This includes investing in infrastructure, improving logistics, and promoting agricultural productivity.
  • Demand Management: Prudent fiscal and monetary policies to manage aggregate demand and prevent demand-pull inflation.
  • Skill Development & Job Creation: Investing in education and skills development programs aligned with industry needs. Promoting entrepreneurship and supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to create employment opportunities.
  • Strengthening Labor Markets: Reforming labor laws to promote flexibility and ease of hiring, while ensuring worker protection.
  • Targeted Subsidies: Providing targeted subsidies to vulnerable groups to mitigate the impact of inflation on essential commodities.
Macroeconomic Factor Impact on the Poor Policy Response
Inflation Reduced purchasing power, erosion of welfare benefits Supply-side management, prudent monetary policy, targeted subsidies
Unemployment Loss of income, increased poverty, social unrest Skill development, job creation, labor market reforms

Conclusion

While welfare schemes are essential for providing immediate relief to the poor and underprivileged, they are not a panacea. Sustainable poverty reduction requires a comprehensive strategy that prioritizes deft management of inflation and unemployment. By addressing the underlying macroeconomic factors that perpetuate poverty, India can create a more equitable and prosperous society. A coordinated approach, integrating welfare schemes with sound economic policies, is crucial for ensuring that the benefits of growth reach all sections of the population. Investing in human capital, promoting inclusive growth, and fostering a stable macroeconomic environment are key to achieving this goal.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Disguised Unemployment
A situation where people are employed but are not fully utilized, meaning they are working below their potential. Common in the agricultural sector in India.
Real Wage
The wage adjusted for inflation, reflecting the actual purchasing power of earnings.

Key Statistics

India's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate averaged 6.7% in 2022-23.

Source: National Statistical Office (NSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (as of knowledge cutoff 2024)

As of 2023, approximately 90% of India’s workforce is employed in the informal sector.

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) (as of knowledge cutoff 2024)

Examples

The impact of demonetization (2016)

The sudden demonetization in 2016 led to temporary economic disruption, impacting the informal sector and causing job losses, particularly affecting daily wage earners and small businesses.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does globalization affect inflation in India?

Globalization can lead to both inflationary and deflationary pressures. Increased global competition can lower prices, but supply chain disruptions and fluctuations in global commodity prices can contribute to inflation.

Topics Covered

EconomySocial JusticePoverty AlleviationInflationEmployment