UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I202320 Marks
Q6.

Explain the Cournot model of duopoly using reaction functions and interpret it as a Nash equilibrium.

How to Approach

This question requires a detailed explanation of the Cournot model, a foundational concept in oligopoly theory. The answer should begin by defining duopoly and the core assumptions of the Cournot model. It must then explain how reaction functions are derived and how their intersection determines the equilibrium output for each firm. Finally, it needs to demonstrate why this equilibrium is a Nash equilibrium, highlighting the concept of mutual best response. A graphical representation would significantly enhance understanding.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Duopoly, a market structure characterized by only two firms, represents a crucial stepping stone in understanding more complex oligopolies. The Cournot model, developed by Antoine Augustin Cournot in 1838, is a foundational model in economics that explains output determination in a duopoly setting. Unlike perfect competition, firms in a duopoly have market power, and their decisions regarding output influence the market price. The Cournot model assumes firms compete by choosing quantities, taking the output of the other firm as given. This strategic interaction leads to a unique equilibrium, which can be effectively analyzed using reaction functions and understood as a Nash equilibrium.

The Cournot Model: A Detailed Explanation

The Cournot model assumes two firms, Firm 1 and Firm 2, producing a homogeneous product. Both firms aim to maximize their profits. Key assumptions include:

  • Homogeneous Product: Both firms produce an identical product.
  • Simultaneous Decision-Making: Firms choose their output levels simultaneously.
  • Perfect Information: Each firm knows the market demand curve.
  • Independent Decision-Making: Firms act independently without collusion.

Deriving Reaction Functions

A reaction function shows the optimal output of one firm given the output of the other firm. To derive the reaction function for Firm 1, we need to find its profit-maximizing output level (Q1) for any given output level of Firm 2 (Q2). Let's assume the inverse demand function is P = a - b(Q1 + Q2), where 'a' and 'b' are positive constants. The profit function for Firm 1 is:

π1 = P * Q1 - C1(Q1)

Where C1(Q1) is the cost function for Firm 1. Assuming a constant marginal cost 'c', C1(Q1) = cQ1. Therefore:

π1 = (a - b(Q1 + Q2)) * Q1 - cQ1

Taking the first-order condition (FOC) with respect to Q1 and setting it to zero gives us:

a - 2bQ1 - bQ2 - c = 0

Solving for Q1, we get Firm 1’s reaction function:

Q1 = (a - c - bQ2) / 2b

Similarly, the reaction function for Firm 2 is:

Q2 = (a - c - bQ1) / 2b

The Cournot Equilibrium

The Cournot equilibrium is found at the intersection of the two reaction functions. This is the point where each firm is producing its best response to the other firm’s output. To find the equilibrium, we can substitute Firm 2’s reaction function into Firm 1’s reaction function:

Q1 = (a - c - b((a - c - bQ1) / 2b)) / 2b

Simplifying this equation, we get:

Q1 = (a - c) / (3b)

Since both firms are identical, Q2 will also be equal to (a - c) / (3b). Therefore, the equilibrium output for each firm is (a - c) / (3b). The total market output is Q1 + Q2 = 2(a - c) / (3b). Substituting this into the inverse demand function, we get the equilibrium price:

P = a - b(2(a - c) / 3b) = (a + 2c) / 3

Nash Equilibrium Interpretation

The Cournot equilibrium is a Nash equilibrium because neither firm has an incentive to unilaterally deviate from its chosen output level, given the output of the other firm. In other words, each firm is playing its best response strategy. If Firm 1 were to increase its output, given Firm 2’s output, it would lower the market price and reduce its profits. Similarly, if Firm 1 were to decrease its output, Firm 2 would increase its output to capture a larger market share, again reducing Firm 1’s profits. The same logic applies to Firm 2. Therefore, the Cournot equilibrium represents a stable outcome where both firms are maximizing their profits, given the strategic behavior of the other.

Firm Equilibrium Output Equilibrium Price
Firm 1 (a - c) / 3b (a + 2c) / 3
Firm 2 (a - c) / 3b (a + 2c) / 3

Conclusion

The Cournot model provides a valuable framework for understanding strategic interaction in duopolies. By utilizing reaction functions, we can determine the equilibrium output levels for each firm and demonstrate that this outcome constitutes a Nash equilibrium, where neither firm benefits from unilaterally altering its strategy. While the model relies on simplifying assumptions, it offers crucial insights into the dynamics of oligopolistic markets and forms the basis for more complex models of competition. Understanding the Cournot model is essential for analyzing industries with a limited number of dominant firms.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Reaction Function
A reaction function shows the optimal output of one firm given the output of its rival firm(s). It represents the best response strategy of a firm.
Nash Equilibrium
A Nash Equilibrium is a stable state in game theory where no player can benefit by unilaterally changing their strategy if the other players keep theirs unchanged.

Key Statistics

According to a 2022 report by the Competition Commission of India (CCI), approximately 60% of the Indian manufacturing sector is characterized by oligopolistic or concentrated market structures.

Source: Competition Commission of India (CCI) Report, 2022 (Knowledge Cutoff: 2023)

In the Indian cement industry, the top 5 players account for over 60% of the total installed capacity as of 2023.

Source: Indian Cement Industry Report, 2023 (Knowledge Cutoff: 2023)

Examples

OPEC and Oil Production

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) can be seen as an example of firms behaving in a Cournot-like manner. Each member country decides its oil production level, taking into account the production levels of other member countries, to influence the global oil price.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the Cournot model differ from the Bertrand model?

The Cournot model assumes firms compete on quantity, while the Bertrand model assumes firms compete on price. In the Bertrand model, with homogeneous products, the equilibrium price is driven down to marginal cost, leading to perfect competition. The Cournot model results in a price above marginal cost.

Topics Covered

EconomicsMicroeconomicsGame TheoryOligopolyMarket Structures