UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I202410 Marks150 Words
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Q16.

Explain managed floating and sterilized interventions for exchange rate.

How to Approach

This question requires a clear understanding of exchange rate regimes and central bank interventions. The answer should define managed floating and sterilized interventions, explain how they work, and highlight their differences. Structure the answer by first defining managed floating, then explaining sterilized interventions, and finally comparing the two. Include examples to illustrate the concepts. Focus on the mechanisms and objectives of each approach.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Exchange rate regimes determine how a country’s currency value is managed. While a completely fixed exchange rate is rare, and a purely free float can be volatile, many countries adopt intermediate regimes. Managed floating, a common choice, allows exchange rates to be determined by market forces but with occasional central bank intervention. Sterilized intervention is a specific technique used within a managed float to influence domestic monetary conditions while maintaining the exchange rate objective. Understanding these concepts is crucial for analyzing macroeconomic policy and international finance.

Managed Floating Exchange Rate

Managed floating, also known as a ‘dirty float’, is an exchange rate regime where the exchange rate is primarily determined by market forces of supply and demand. However, the central bank actively intervenes in the foreign exchange market to moderate fluctuations, prevent excessive volatility, or achieve specific exchange rate objectives. This intervention isn’t aimed at rigidly fixing the exchange rate but rather at influencing its direction or pace of change.

  • Intervention Mechanisms: Central banks can intervene by buying or selling their own currency in the foreign exchange market. Buying their own currency increases demand, appreciating its value, while selling increases supply, depreciating its value.
  • Objectives: Common objectives include smoothing exchange rate fluctuations, preventing disruptive appreciation or depreciation, and maintaining competitiveness.
  • Example: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) frequently intervenes in the foreign exchange market to manage the volatility of the Indian Rupee, particularly against the US Dollar.

Sterilized Intervention

Sterilized intervention is a specific type of foreign exchange intervention where the central bank simultaneously undertakes foreign exchange operations and offsetting domestic open market operations to prevent any change in the domestic money supply. This is done to influence the exchange rate without affecting interest rates or credit conditions.

  • How it Works: If a central bank wants to appreciate its currency, it buys its own currency in the foreign exchange market (increasing demand). To sterilize this, it simultaneously sells government bonds in the domestic market (reducing the money supply). The bond sale offsets the increase in the money supply caused by the currency purchase, keeping the overall money supply unchanged.
  • Objectives: The primary objective is to influence the exchange rate without altering domestic monetary policy. This is useful when a country wants to manage its exchange rate while also pursuing independent monetary policy goals, such as controlling inflation.
  • Effectiveness: The effectiveness of sterilized intervention is debated. Some economists argue it has limited impact, especially in open economies with high capital mobility, as capital flows can counteract the central bank’s efforts.
  • Example: In the early 2000s, several East Asian central banks, including those of Thailand and South Korea, used sterilized intervention to prevent their currencies from appreciating rapidly against the US Dollar.

Comparison: Managed Floating vs. Sterilized Intervention

Feature Managed Floating Sterilized Intervention
Nature of Intervention Broad; can involve various degrees of intervention. Specific; always accompanied by offsetting domestic operations.
Impact on Money Supply Can alter the money supply. Aims to keep the money supply unchanged.
Objective Moderate fluctuations, prevent excessive volatility, achieve exchange rate objectives. Influence exchange rate without affecting domestic monetary conditions.
Complexity Relatively simpler to implement. More complex, requiring coordinated operations.

Conclusion

Both managed floating and sterilized intervention are tools used by central banks to influence exchange rates. Managed floating provides flexibility while allowing for intervention, while sterilized intervention offers a way to manage the exchange rate without disrupting domestic monetary policy. However, the effectiveness of both approaches can be limited by factors such as capital mobility and market expectations. The choice between these strategies depends on a country’s specific economic circumstances and policy priorities.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Foreign Exchange Intervention
The act of a central bank buying or selling its own currency in the foreign exchange market to influence its value.
Sterilization
The process of neutralizing the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the domestic money supply through offsetting domestic operations.

Key Statistics

In 2022, global foreign exchange reserves held by central banks amounted to approximately $14.8 trillion (IMF data, as of knowledge cutoff 2023).

Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF)

According to the BIS (Bank for International Settlements), in April-June 2023, official foreign exchange reserves decreased by USD 230 billion, reflecting valuation changes and interventions.

Source: Bank for International Settlements (BIS)

Examples

Swiss National Bank Intervention (2015)

In January 2015, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) abruptly abandoned its cap on the Swiss Franc against the Euro, leading to a significant appreciation of the Franc. This demonstrated the challenges of maintaining fixed or capped exchange rates in the face of strong market forces.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Trilemma in international finance?

The Trilemma, also known as the impossible trinity, states that a country cannot simultaneously have a fixed exchange rate, free capital flows, and independent monetary policy. Countries must choose two out of these three.

Topics Covered

EconomyInternational EconomicsExchange RatesForeign ExchangeMonetary Policy