UPSC MainsGENERAL-STUDIES-PAPER-III202415 Marks250 Words
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Q16.

What are asteroids? How real is the threat of them causing extinction of life? What strategies have been developed to prevent such a catastrophe?

How to Approach

This question requires a multi-faceted answer. First, define asteroids and their origins. Second, assess the realistic threat they pose to life on Earth, referencing past events and near misses. Finally, detail the strategies developed for planetary defense, including detection, tracking, and deflection technologies. Structure the answer into three clear sections: Definition & Origin, Threat Assessment, and Mitigation Strategies. Include relevant examples and data to strengthen the response.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Asteroids, often referred to as ‘space rocks’, are remnants from the early formation of our solar system, approximately 4.6 billion years ago. These rocky, metallic, or icy bodies orbit the Sun, primarily found in the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. While many asteroids are relatively small, some pose a potential threat to Earth. The impact of a large asteroid has been linked to past mass extinction events, and ongoing research focuses on understanding and mitigating this risk. Recent events like the close approach of asteroid 2023 FW13 highlight the continued need for vigilance and planetary defense mechanisms.

What are Asteroids?

Asteroids are celestial bodies ranging in size from a few meters to hundreds of kilometers in diameter. They are composed of rock, metal, and other materials. Their formation is linked to the solar system’s early stages, where gravitational forces prevented them from coalescing into a planet. Asteroids are categorized based on their composition:

  • C-type (Carbonaceous): Most common type, dark in color, rich in carbon.
  • S-type (Silicaceous): Composed of silicate materials and nickel-iron.
  • M-type (Metallic): Primarily composed of nickel-iron.

How Real is the Threat of Extinction?

The threat of asteroid impacts causing extinction-level events is real, though the probability of a catastrophic impact in the near future is relatively low. Evidence from Earth’s geological record demonstrates that asteroid impacts have played a significant role in past mass extinctions.

  • The Cretaceous-Paleogene (K-Pg) Extinction Event (66 million years ago): A large asteroid impact in the Yucatán Peninsula, Mexico, is widely accepted as the primary cause of the extinction of the dinosaurs and approximately 76% of plant and animal species.
  • The Chicxulub Impact Crater: A 180-kilometer-wide impact crater provides physical evidence of the K-Pg impactor.
  • Near-Earth Objects (NEOs): These are asteroids and comets whose orbits bring them close to Earth. NASA and other space agencies actively track NEOs to assess their potential impact risk.

The Torino Scale and the Palermo Technical Impact Hazard Scale are used to categorize and communicate the risk of asteroid impacts. While smaller asteroids impact Earth frequently (burning up in the atmosphere as meteors), larger asteroids pose a greater threat. An asteroid larger than 1 kilometer in diameter impacting Earth could have global catastrophic consequences.

Strategies to Prevent a Catastrophe

Several strategies have been developed to prevent a potential asteroid impact:

  • Detection and Tracking: Ground-based and space-based telescopes (like the Vera C. Rubin Observatory, currently under construction) are used to detect and track NEOs. Early detection is crucial for providing sufficient time for mitigation efforts.
  • Deflection Techniques: Several techniques are being explored to deflect asteroids from a collision course with Earth:
    • Kinetic Impactor: Ramming a spacecraft into the asteroid to alter its trajectory. (Demonstrated by NASA’s DART mission in 2022).
    • Gravity Tractor: Using the gravitational pull of a spacecraft to slowly nudge the asteroid off course.
    • Nuclear Detonation: A controversial option involving detonating a nuclear device near the asteroid to vaporize or deflect it.
    • Ion Beam Shepherd: Using an ion beam to create a force that slowly alters the asteroid’s trajectory.
  • International Collaboration: Planetary defense is a global effort. Organizations like the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN) and the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group (SMPAG) facilitate international cooperation in detecting, tracking, and mitigating asteroid threats.

The Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission (2022) successfully demonstrated the kinetic impactor technique by altering the orbit of the asteroid Dimorphos. This mission provided valuable data and validated the feasibility of this deflection method.

Conclusion

Asteroids represent a genuine, albeit low-probability, threat to life on Earth. While the risk of a catastrophic impact is not imminent, continued investment in detection, tracking, and deflection technologies is essential. The success of missions like DART demonstrates that we possess the capability to protect our planet from asteroid impacts. International collaboration and ongoing research are crucial for ensuring planetary defense readiness and safeguarding the future of humanity.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Near-Earth Object (NEO)
An asteroid or comet whose orbit brings it within 19.5 million miles (31.5 million kilometers) of Earth’s orbit.
Palermo Technical Impact Hazard Scale
A logarithmic scale that compares the risk posed by a potential asteroid impact to the background risk of impacts of similar-sized objects over a specified time period.

Key Statistics

As of January 2024, NASA has identified over 31,000 known near-Earth asteroids.

Source: NASA Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS)

Approximately 27,000 near-Earth asteroids larger than 100 meters in diameter have been identified, but it is estimated that around 40% of these remain undiscovered (as of 2023).

Source: ESA NEO Coordination Centre

Examples

Tunguska Event

In 1908, a large asteroid or comet exploded over Tunguska, Siberia, flattening approximately 80 million trees over an area of 2,000 square kilometers. While no impact crater was found, the event demonstrates the destructive potential of even relatively small space objects.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between an asteroid, a meteoroid, and a meteorite?

An asteroid is a large rocky body orbiting the Sun. A meteoroid is a smaller rocky or metallic body traveling through space. A meteor is the streak of light seen when a meteoroid enters Earth’s atmosphere and burns up. A meteorite is a meteoroid that survives its passage through the atmosphere and impacts the Earth’s surface.

Topics Covered

Science & TechnologyEnvironmentSpace SciencePlanetary DefenseDisaster ManagementAstronomy