UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-II201115 Marks150 Words
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Q13.

Write on the unfinished agenda of Doha Round of negotiations of the WTO.

How to Approach

This question requires a focused answer on the Doha Round, its objectives, the reasons for its stagnation, and the current status. The answer should highlight the key sticking points between developed and developing nations. Structure the answer by first introducing the Doha Round, then detailing the core issues causing the deadlock, and finally, discussing the current status and implications. Mention specific areas of disagreement like agricultural subsidies and Special and Differential Treatment (SDT).

Model Answer

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Introduction

The Doha Development Round, launched in November 2001 at the WTO Ministerial Conference in Doha, Qatar, was envisioned as a single undertaking to address the concerns of developing countries by lowering trade barriers and leveling the playing field. It aimed to achieve substantial liberalization of global trade, encompassing agriculture, manufacturing, and services. However, despite numerous negotiations and deadlines, the Doha Round remains unfinished, becoming a symbol of the challenges in multilateral trade liberalization. The round’s failure has significant implications for global trade, economic growth, and the credibility of the WTO itself.

Core Objectives and Initial Promises

The Doha Round was initiated with a ‘development’ focus, promising to prioritize the needs of developing countries. Key objectives included:

  • Reducing agricultural subsidies in developed countries, which distort global markets and harm farmers in developing nations.
  • Improving market access for developing country exports, particularly in agriculture and textiles.
  • Simplifying and clarifying WTO rules, making them more transparent and enforceable.
  • Providing Special and Differential Treatment (SDT) to developing countries, allowing them more flexibility in implementing WTO agreements.

Key Sticking Points and Reasons for Failure

Several factors contributed to the prolonged stalemate of the Doha Round. The primary disagreements revolved around:

Agricultural Subsidies

Developed countries, particularly the US and the EU, were reluctant to significantly reduce their agricultural subsidies, despite their distorting effects on global agricultural markets. Developing countries, like India and Brazil, demanded deeper cuts to these subsidies to enable their farmers to compete effectively.

Special and Differential Treatment (SDT)

Developing countries sought greater flexibility in implementing WTO agreements, recognizing their unique economic and developmental challenges. However, developed countries were hesitant to grant extensive SDT provisions, fearing they would undermine the effectiveness of the WTO rules.

Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA)

Disagreements arose over the extent to which developing countries should reduce tariffs on manufactured goods. Developed countries sought greater market access in these sectors, while developing countries were concerned about protecting their nascent industries.

Services Sector

Negotiations on trade in services also faced hurdles, with disagreements over the scope of liberalization and the level of commitments required from different countries.

The July 2008 Package and Subsequent Impasse

In July 2008, negotiators reached a framework agreement, often referred to as the ‘July Package,’ which aimed to break the deadlock. This package included proposed cuts in agricultural subsidies, tariff reductions in NAMA, and guidelines for SDT. However, the agreement failed to gain widespread support, and negotiations stalled again due to disagreements over implementation details and safeguard mechanisms.

Current Status and Implications

The Doha Round is widely considered to be effectively stalled. While some members continue to express a desire to revive the negotiations, the prospects for a comprehensive agreement appear dim. The rise of bilateral and regional trade agreements (RTAs) has further diminished the importance of the Doha Round. The WTO has shifted its focus to other areas, such as e-commerce and investment facilitation. The failure of the Doha Round has raised questions about the future of multilateral trade liberalization and the role of the WTO in the global trading system.

In December 2015, members agreed to abandon the Doha Round’s single undertaking approach and instead focus on achieving more limited, targeted agreements. This signaled a tacit acknowledgement of the round’s failure.

Conclusion

The unfinished agenda of the Doha Round represents a significant setback for multilateral trade liberalization and the principle of equitable trade. The inability to address the concerns of developing countries regarding agricultural subsidies and SDT has eroded trust in the WTO and contributed to the proliferation of bilateral and regional trade agreements. While a full revival of the Doha Round seems unlikely, lessons learned from its failure are crucial for shaping future trade negotiations and ensuring a more inclusive and sustainable global trading system.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Special and Differential Treatment (SDT)
SDT refers to provisions in WTO agreements that allow developing countries to have more flexibility in implementing their commitments, recognizing their unique economic and developmental challenges. This can include longer transition periods, technical assistance, and exemptions from certain obligations.
Single Undertaking
In WTO negotiations, a "single undertaking" means that all members must accept the entire package of agreements reached, or none at all. This approach was used in the Doha Round but ultimately contributed to its failure, as disagreements on specific issues prevented a consensus on the entire package.

Key Statistics

According to the WTO, agricultural subsidies in OECD countries amounted to approximately $286 billion in 2018.

Source: WTO, Trade Distorting Subsidies, 2019 (Knowledge cutoff: 2021)

The WTO estimates that completing the Doha Round could have boosted global trade by up to $1 trillion.

Source: WTO, Report on Trade in 2016 (Knowledge cutoff: 2021)

Examples

Cotton Subsidies Dispute

The US cotton subsidies were a major point of contention in the Doha Round. Brazil challenged these subsidies at the WTO, arguing that they distorted global cotton markets and harmed Brazilian cotton producers. The WTO ruled in favor of Brazil, leading to a protracted dispute and ultimately, a compensation agreement.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did India strongly advocate for the Doha Round?

India, as a major agricultural producer and a developing country, believed the Doha Round offered a crucial opportunity to reduce agricultural subsidies in developed countries, improve market access for its exports, and secure more favorable terms of trade.

Topics Covered

EconomyInternational RelationsInternational TradeWTOTrade Policy