UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-II201130 Marks
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Q10.

Analyse the recent trend of gross capital formation in agriculture. Has it, do you think, been responsible for the sluggish growth rate in agriculture ?

How to Approach

This question requires a nuanced understanding of Gross Capital Formation (GCF) in agriculture and its correlation with agricultural growth. The answer should begin by defining GCF and outlining its recent trends, supported by data. It should then analyze the potential reasons why sluggish GCF might be contributing to slow agricultural growth, considering factors like investment climate, credit access, and policy support. A balanced approach acknowledging other contributing factors to agricultural growth is crucial. The structure will be: Introduction, Trends in GCF, Linkage with Agricultural Growth, Other Contributing Factors, and Conclusion.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Gross Capital Formation (GCF) represents the total investment made in an economy’s capital stock – including fixed assets like machinery, equipment, and infrastructure, as well as changes in inventories. In agriculture, it signifies investment in irrigation, farm machinery, storage facilities, and other crucial inputs. Recent trends indicate a concerning stagnation, and even decline, in agricultural GCF as a percentage of GDP. According to data from the National Statistical Office (NSO), the share of GCF in agriculture has fluctuated but generally remained below 3% of GDP in recent years, a significant drop from earlier decades. This raises concerns about the long-term sustainability and growth potential of the Indian agricultural sector, prompting the question of whether this trend is a key driver of the observed sluggish growth.

Recent Trends in Gross Capital Formation in Agriculture

The trend of GCF in agriculture has been characterized by volatility and a general decline in its share of overall GCF. While overall GCF in the Indian economy has shown some improvement, agricultural GCF has lagged behind. Several factors contribute to this:

  • Public Sector Investment: Public investment in irrigation, agricultural research, and rural infrastructure has been inconsistent and often insufficient. While schemes like PMKSY (Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayee Yojana) aim to boost irrigation, their impact on overall GCF has been limited.
  • Private Sector Investment: Private investment in agriculture is hampered by several factors, including small landholdings, risk aversion among farmers, lack of access to credit, and inadequate market infrastructure.
  • Declining Share of Agriculture in GDP: As the share of agriculture in India’s GDP has declined, the relative importance of agricultural GCF has also diminished.

Linkage between GCF and Agricultural Growth

A strong correlation exists between GCF and agricultural growth. Increased investment in agriculture leads to:

  • Technological Advancement: Investment in farm machinery, precision farming techniques, and biotechnology enhances productivity.
  • Irrigation Development: Expansion of irrigation facilities reduces dependence on monsoon rains and increases crop yields.
  • Post-Harvest Infrastructure: Investment in storage, processing, and transportation infrastructure reduces post-harvest losses and improves market access.
  • Human Capital Development: Investment in agricultural education and extension services improves farmers’ skills and knowledge.

The sluggish growth in agricultural GCF directly impacts these areas. For instance, the lack of investment in cold storage facilities leads to significant wastage of fruits and vegetables, estimated at around 25-30% (Source: Ministry of Food Processing Industries, 2022 - knowledge cutoff). Similarly, inadequate investment in irrigation infrastructure limits the adoption of water-efficient farming practices.

Analyzing the Responsibility for Sluggish Growth

While sluggish GCF is undoubtedly a contributing factor, it is not solely responsible for the slow agricultural growth rate. Other significant factors include:

  • Climate Change: Increasing frequency of extreme weather events like droughts and floods negatively impacts crop production.
  • Land Degradation: Soil erosion, salinity, and nutrient depletion reduce land productivity.
  • Fragmentation of Landholdings: Small and fragmented landholdings hinder the adoption of modern farming techniques.
  • Inefficient Supply Chain: Inefficient supply chains and inadequate market infrastructure lead to high transaction costs and reduced farmer incomes.
  • Policy Issues: Issues related to land reforms, tenancy laws, and agricultural marketing regulations also constrain agricultural growth.

Comparative Analysis of GCF in Agriculture (India vs. Other Countries)

Country Agricultural GCF as % of GDP (Approximate - 2021-2023 Average)
India 2.5% - 2.8%
China 4.0% - 4.5%
Brazil 3.5% - 4.0%
USA 2.0% - 2.5%

This table highlights that India’s agricultural GCF as a percentage of GDP is lower than that of major agricultural economies like China and Brazil, indicating a lower level of investment in the sector.

Government Initiatives and their Impact

The government has launched several initiatives to boost agricultural GCF, including:

  • Agricultural Infrastructure Fund (AIF): Provides medium- and long-term debt for post-harvest infrastructure and community farming assets.
  • PMKSY (Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayee Yojana): Aims to expand irrigation coverage and improve water use efficiency.
  • National Mission on Sustainable Agriculture (NMSA): Promotes sustainable farming practices and resource conservation.

However, the impact of these initiatives has been limited due to implementation challenges, inadequate funding, and lack of coordination between different government departments.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the recent trend of sluggish Gross Capital Formation in agriculture is a significant concern and undoubtedly contributes to the slow growth rate of the sector. However, it is not the sole determinant. Climate change, land degradation, fragmented landholdings, and policy constraints also play crucial roles. A holistic approach that addresses all these factors, coupled with increased and sustained investment in agricultural infrastructure, technology, and human capital, is essential to unlock the full potential of Indian agriculture and ensure food security for a growing population. Prioritizing long-term investment and streamlining policy frameworks will be key to reversing the current trend and fostering sustainable agricultural growth.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Gross Capital Formation (GCF)
GCF is the total value of investments made in the economy’s capital stock, including fixed assets (machinery, equipment, infrastructure) and changes in inventories. It represents the addition to the economy’s productive capacity.
PMKSY
Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayee Yojana (PMKSY) is a scheme launched by the Government of India to improve irrigation efficiency, expand irrigation coverage, and promote water conservation in agriculture.

Key Statistics

The share of agriculture in India’s GCF declined from around 18% in 1980-81 to approximately 8% in 2021-22.

Source: National Statistical Office (NSO), Government of India

Post-harvest losses in India are estimated to be worth ₹2.23 lakh crore annually (2020-21).

Source: Ministry of Food Processing Industries, 2022

Examples

Micro-Irrigation in Gujarat

Gujarat’s success in promoting micro-irrigation (drip and sprinkler systems) through subsidies and awareness campaigns demonstrates the positive impact of targeted investment in irrigation infrastructure on agricultural productivity and water use efficiency.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is private investment in agriculture low?

Private investment is low due to factors like small landholdings, high risk associated with agriculture (weather, pests, market fluctuations), limited access to credit, and inadequate market infrastructure.

Topics Covered

EconomyAgricultureAgricultural InvestmentEconomic GrowthRural Economy