UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I201820 Marks
हिंदी में पढ़ें
Q8.

Give an outline of Kaldor's theory of distribution. Also explain the implications of an increase in the wage level and a reduction in the saving rate on the distribution of income.

How to Approach

This question requires a detailed understanding of Kaldor's distribution theory and its implications for income distribution. The answer should begin by outlining the core principles of Kaldor’s theory, focusing on the role of capital accumulation, technological progress, and the wage-profit ratio. Subsequently, it should analyze how changes in wage levels and savings rates affect these core mechanisms and, consequently, the distribution of income. A structured approach, using headings and subheadings, will enhance clarity. Focus on explaining the mechanisms at play rather than just stating the outcomes.

Model Answer

0 min read

Introduction

Nicholas Kaldor, a prominent post-Keynesian economist, developed a comprehensive theory of distribution in the 1950s and 60s, challenging the neoclassical view that distribution is solely determined by marginal productivity. Kaldor’s theory posits that the distribution of income between wages and profits is not a static outcome of market forces but is dynamically determined by factors like the rate of capital accumulation, technological progress, and the ‘share’ of wages in national income. Understanding this framework is crucial for analyzing the impact of policy interventions aimed at altering income inequality. This answer will outline Kaldor’s theory and explore the implications of changes in wage levels and savings rates on income distribution.

Kaldor’s Theory of Distribution: An Outline

Kaldor’s theory rests on several key propositions:

  • The Capital-Output Ratio (v): Kaldor argued that the capital-output ratio, representing the amount of capital required to produce one unit of output, is relatively stable in the long run.
  • The Rate of Profit (r): The rate of profit is determined by the ratio of output to capital (1/v) and the rate of capital accumulation (g). Higher capital accumulation leads to a lower rate of profit.
  • The Wage Share (w): The wage share is determined by the rate of capital accumulation and the rate of technological progress (σ). Higher capital accumulation and technological progress tend to increase the wage share.
  • The Stability of the Wage-Profit Ratio: Kaldor believed that the wage-profit ratio tends to be stable over the long run due to the interplay of these factors.

The Core Mechanisms

The theory operates through a series of interconnected mechanisms. Increased capital accumulation, driven by higher savings and investment, initially lowers the rate of profit. However, it also stimulates technological progress, which increases labor productivity and, consequently, the wage share. The wage share’s increase is constrained by the capital-output ratio. The interplay between these forces determines the long-run distribution of income.

Implications of an Increase in the Wage Level

An increase in the wage level, holding other factors constant, has several implications:

  • Reduced Profit Share: A higher wage level directly reduces the profit share in national income. This is a straightforward effect.
  • Potential for Reduced Capital Accumulation: Lower profits may lead to reduced investment and capital accumulation, as firms have less incentive to expand.
  • Stimulus to Technological Progress: Higher wages can incentivize firms to adopt labor-saving technologies, boosting technological progress (σ). This, in turn, can increase labor productivity and potentially offset the initial reduction in the profit share.
  • Impact on Demand: Higher wages increase aggregate demand, potentially leading to increased output and investment, partially mitigating the negative impact on capital accumulation.

However, the net effect depends on the elasticity of investment to changes in profits and the responsiveness of technological progress to wage increases. If investment is highly sensitive to profits, a wage increase could lead to a significant decline in capital accumulation and ultimately harm long-term growth.

Implications of a Reduction in the Saving Rate

A reduction in the saving rate has significant consequences for Kaldor’s framework:

  • Reduced Capital Accumulation (g): A lower saving rate directly translates into lower investment and a slower rate of capital accumulation.
  • Increased Rate of Profit (r): Slower capital accumulation increases the rate of profit, as the capital-output ratio remains relatively stable.
  • Decreased Wage Share (w): Reduced capital accumulation and slower technological progress (as investment in R&D may also decline) lead to a decrease in the wage share.
  • Distributional Effects: The shift in income from wages to profits exacerbates income inequality.

The magnitude of these effects depends on the sensitivity of investment to changes in the saving rate and the responsiveness of technological progress to investment levels. A significant reduction in the saving rate could lead to a prolonged period of slower growth and increased income inequality.

A Comparative Look: Wage Increase vs. Saving Rate Reduction

Factor Increase in Wage Level Reduction in Saving Rate
Capital Accumulation Potentially reduced (depends on investment elasticity) Definitely reduced
Rate of Profit Potentially reduced Increased
Wage Share Potentially increased (due to technological progress) Decreased
Income Inequality Ambiguous (depends on offsetting effects) Increased

Conclusion

Kaldor’s theory of distribution provides a valuable framework for understanding the dynamic interplay between capital accumulation, technological progress, and income distribution. An increase in wages can have complex effects, potentially stimulating technological progress but also reducing profits and investment. However, a reduction in the saving rate unequivocally leads to slower capital accumulation, a higher rate of profit, and a decreased wage share, exacerbating income inequality. Policymakers must consider these dynamic effects when designing policies aimed at achieving equitable and sustainable economic growth. The theory highlights the importance of maintaining a balance between capital accumulation and wage growth to ensure long-term prosperity.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Capital-Output Ratio
The capital-output ratio (v) is a measure of the amount of capital required to produce one unit of output. It is calculated as the total capital stock divided by the total output.
Wage Share
The wage share represents the proportion of national income that accrues to labor in the form of wages and salaries. It is calculated as total wages divided by total national income.

Key Statistics

According to the World Inequality Database (2023), the share of income held by the top 1% in India has risen from 22% in 1980 to over 40% in 2021.

Source: World Inequality Database (2023)

India's savings rate, as a percentage of GDP, has fluctuated in recent years, standing at approximately 30.8% in 2022-23 (RBI data).

Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI), 2023

Examples

East Asian Miracle

The rapid economic growth in East Asian economies like South Korea and Taiwan in the latter half of the 20th century was characterized by high rates of capital accumulation, significant technological progress, and a relatively equitable distribution of income. This aligns with some of the core tenets of Kaldor’s theory.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Kaldor’s theory account for the role of human capital?

While Kaldor’s original formulation focused primarily on physical capital, extensions of his theory have incorporated the role of human capital. Investments in education and skills development can be seen as a form of capital accumulation that contributes to technological progress and increases the wage share.

Topics Covered

EconomyMacroeconomicsIncome DistributionWagesSavings