UPSC MainsGEOGRAPHY-PAPER-I201915 Marks
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Q12.

Explain the present status of age-structure and availability of workforce in India.

How to Approach

This question requires a detailed understanding of India’s demographic dividend and its current challenges. The answer should begin by defining age structure and workforce, then detail the current status with supporting data. It should analyze the trends, regional variations, and implications for the economy and society. A structured approach, dividing the answer into sections on age structure, workforce participation rate, skill gaps, and regional disparities, will be effective. Focus on recent data from the Census, NSSO, and Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS).

Model Answer

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Introduction

India, with a median age of 28.4 years in 2022 (United Nations Population Fund), is often touted as having a ‘demographic dividend’ – a period when the proportion of the working-age population is larger than the non-working-age population. This presents a significant opportunity for economic growth. However, realizing this potential depends on the effective utilization of this workforce. Understanding the present age structure and the availability of a skilled and employable workforce is crucial for informed policy-making. This answer will detail the current status of both, highlighting the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

Age Structure of India

The age structure of a population refers to the distribution of people across different age groups. India’s age structure is characterized by a young population, but it is undergoing a transition. According to the Census 2011, the proportion of children (0-14 years) was 30.01%, the working-age population (15-64 years) was 62.58%, and the elderly (65 years and above) was 5.74%. However, recent trends indicate a shift towards an aging population.

  • Shifting Pyramid: The population pyramid is gradually moving from a triangular shape (high birth rates, low life expectancy) to a more rectangular shape (declining birth rates, increasing life expectancy).
  • Declining Fertility Rate: The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) has declined from 3.2 in 1998 to 2.0 in 2019-21 (National Family Health Survey-5). This indicates a slowing population growth rate.
  • Increasing Proportion of Elderly: The share of the elderly population is increasing, posing challenges related to healthcare, social security, and pension systems. It is projected to reach 20% by 2050.

Workforce Availability in India

The workforce refers to the population that is either employed or actively seeking employment. India has a large workforce, but its availability and quality are unevenly distributed.

  • Workforce Participation Rate (WPR): The WPR, which measures the proportion of the working-age population engaged in the labour force, has been declining in India. According to the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) 2022-23, the WPR was 59.2% (male: 71.9%, female: 32.5%). This decline is attributed to factors like increased enrollment in education, particularly among women, and structural issues in the labour market.
  • Employment Rate: The employment rate, which measures the proportion of the working-age population that is employed, was 55.7% in 2022-23 (PLFS).
  • Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate was 8.1% in 2022-23 (PLFS). Youth unemployment (15-29 years) is significantly higher, at 18.2%.

Regional Variations

There are significant regional variations in age structure and workforce availability.

Region Age Structure (0-14 years %) Workforce Participation Rate (%)
Kerala 23.6 50.1
Rajasthan 32.8 62.5
Tamil Nadu 26.8 54.6

These variations are influenced by factors like socio-economic development, education levels, and cultural norms.

Challenges and Issues

  • Skill Gaps: A significant portion of the workforce lacks the skills required for modern industries. This leads to a mismatch between demand and supply of labour.
  • Informal Sector Dominance: A large proportion of the workforce is employed in the informal sector, which offers low wages, job insecurity, and limited social protection.
  • Gender Disparities: Women’s participation in the workforce is significantly lower than men’s, due to social and cultural barriers, lack of childcare facilities, and unequal pay.
  • Underemployment: A substantial number of workers are underemployed, meaning they are working less than their full potential.

Government Initiatives

The government has launched several initiatives to address these challenges:

  • Skill India Mission (2015): Aims to provide vocational training and skill development to millions of youth.
  • Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana (PMKVY): Provides short-term training courses to enhance employability.
  • National Education Policy (NEP) 2020: Emphasizes skill development and vocational education at all levels of education.
  • Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA): Provides guaranteed employment to rural households.

Conclusion

India’s age structure presents a unique opportunity for economic growth, but realizing this potential requires addressing the challenges related to workforce availability, skill gaps, and regional disparities. Investing in education, skill development, and creating a conducive environment for job creation are crucial. Furthermore, promoting gender equality and improving the conditions in the informal sector are essential for maximizing the benefits of the demographic dividend. A holistic and integrated approach is needed to ensure that India’s workforce is equipped to meet the demands of the 21st-century economy.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Demographic Dividend
The economic growth potential realized when a population boasts a falling birth and death rate, resulting in a larger proportion of the population being of working age.
Workforce Participation Rate (WPR)
The percentage of the working-age population (typically 15 years and older) that is either employed or actively seeking employment.

Key Statistics

India’s median age is 28.4 years (2022), compared to 38.3 years for China and 48.1 years for Japan.

Source: United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)

Female Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR) in India is around 32.5% (PLFS 2022-23), significantly lower than the global average of around 47%.

Source: Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) 2022-23

Examples

South Korea’s Demographic Dividend

South Korea experienced a significant demographic dividend in the 1980s and 1990s, which contributed to its rapid economic growth. However, it is now facing challenges related to an aging population and declining birth rates.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the impact of declining fertility rates on India’s economy?

Declining fertility rates can lead to a shrinking workforce in the long run, potentially slowing economic growth. It also increases the dependency ratio (the ratio of dependents – children and elderly – to the working-age population), putting pressure on social security systems.

Topics Covered

EconomySocial IssuesDemographicsEmploymentHuman ResourcesPopulation