UPSC MainsBOTANY-PAPER-II202215 Marks
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Q8.

Chi-Square Test: Pea Plant Pod Color

In a cross between pea plants with green and yellow coloured pods, the F2 individual segregated into 787 green and 277 yellow pod coloured individuals. If you have to test that these results agree with the expected ratio 3:1, then apply Chi-square P = 5%.

How to Approach

This question requires applying statistical analysis – specifically the Chi-square test – to determine if observed genetic segregation ratios align with expected Mendelian ratios. The answer should demonstrate a clear understanding of the Chi-square formula, degrees of freedom, and interpretation of the p-value. The steps involved – formulating null and alternative hypotheses, constructing the contingency table, calculating the Chi-square statistic, and comparing it to the critical value – must be detailed. The conclusion should state whether the null hypothesis is accepted or rejected based on the p-value.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Gregor Mendel’s laws of inheritance, established through his experiments with pea plants, form the foundation of modern genetics. These laws predict specific phenotypic ratios in offspring resulting from genetic crosses. However, deviations from these expected ratios can occur due to chance or other factors. The Chi-square test is a statistical tool used to assess the goodness of fit between observed and expected frequencies, allowing us to determine if observed deviations are statistically significant. In this case, we will use the Chi-square test with a significance level of P = 5% to evaluate whether the observed segregation of pod colour in pea plants aligns with the expected 3:1 ratio.

Understanding the Chi-Square Test

The Chi-square test (χ²) is a statistical test used to determine if there is a significant association between two categorical variables. In genetics, it’s commonly used to compare observed phenotypic ratios with expected Mendelian ratios. The formula for the Chi-square statistic is:

χ² = Σ [(Oi - Ei)² / Ei]

Where:

  • Oi = Observed frequency for each category
  • Ei = Expected frequency for each category
  • Σ = Summation across all categories

Step 1: Formulating Hypotheses

Null Hypothesis (H0): The observed segregation ratio of green and yellow pod colours (787:277) is consistent with the expected 3:1 ratio.

Alternative Hypothesis (H1): The observed segregation ratio of green and yellow pod colours is not consistent with the expected 3:1 ratio.

Step 2: Constructing the Contingency Table

First, we need to calculate the total number of individuals observed: 787 (green) + 277 (yellow) = 1064.

Based on the 3:1 ratio, the expected number of individuals for each phenotype is:

  • Expected Green: (3/4) * 1064 = 798
  • Expected Yellow: (1/4) * 1064 = 266

Now, we can construct the contingency table:

Phenotype Observed (Oi) Expected (Ei)
Green 787 798
Yellow 277 266
Total 1064 1064

Step 3: Calculating the Chi-Square Statistic

Using the formula, we calculate the Chi-square statistic:

χ² = [(787 - 798)² / 798] + [(277 - 266)² / 266]

χ² = [(-11)² / 798] + [(11)² / 266]

χ² = [121 / 798] + [121 / 266]

χ² = 0.151 + 0.455

χ² = 0.606

Step 4: Determining Degrees of Freedom and Critical Value

Degrees of freedom (df) = Number of categories - 1. In this case, df = 2 - 1 = 1.

With a significance level (P) of 5% and 1 degree of freedom, the critical value from the Chi-square distribution table is 3.841.

Step 5: Interpreting the Results

Since the calculated Chi-square statistic (0.606) is less than the critical value (3.841), we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

This indicates that the observed segregation ratio of green and yellow pod colours is not significantly different from the expected 3:1 ratio at the 5% significance level.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Chi-square test results demonstrate that the observed segregation of pod colour in the pea plant cross (787 green, 277 yellow) does not significantly deviate from the expected 3:1 Mendelian ratio at a P = 5% significance level. Therefore, we accept the null hypothesis, suggesting that the observed results are consistent with Mendelian inheritance principles. Further studies with larger sample sizes could provide even more robust evidence.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Phenotypic Ratio
The relative proportion of different phenotypes observed in the offspring of a genetic cross. For example, a 3:1 phenotypic ratio indicates that for every three offspring exhibiting one trait, one offspring exhibits a different trait.
Degrees of Freedom
In the context of the Chi-square test, degrees of freedom represent the number of independent pieces of information available to estimate a parameter. It is calculated as the number of categories minus 1.

Key Statistics

The global market for genetic testing was valued at USD 25.67 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 47.84 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.2% from 2023 to 2030.

Source: Grand View Research, 2023

Approximately 1 in 200 to 1 in 300 babies are born with a single-gene disorder.

Source: National Institutes of Health (NIH), 2023 (Knowledge Cutoff)

Examples

Drosophila Experiments

Thomas Hunt Morgan’s experiments with *Drosophila melanogaster* (fruit flies) provided crucial evidence supporting the chromosome theory of inheritance and demonstrated sex-linked inheritance, further validating Mendelian principles.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a high Chi-square value indicate?

A high Chi-square value indicates a large difference between the observed and expected frequencies, suggesting that the null hypothesis is likely false and there is a significant association between the variables being tested.

Topics Covered

BiologyGeneticsStatisticsInheritanceStatistical AnalysisMendel's Laws