UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-II202315 Marks
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Q8.

Explain the main reasons for deceleration in agricultural growth in India during the post-economic reform period.

How to Approach

This question requires a nuanced understanding of India's agricultural sector post-1991. The answer should focus on the interplay of economic reforms, policy shifts, and structural issues that have contributed to the deceleration of agricultural growth. A good approach would be to categorize the reasons into factors related to public investment, market distortions, climate change, and socio-economic constraints. Structuring the answer chronologically, highlighting key policy changes and their impacts, will be beneficial. Data and reports from relevant sources (e.g., Economic Survey, NSSO) should be incorporated.

Model Answer

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Introduction

India’s agricultural sector, a cornerstone of the economy employing over 58% of the population (as of 2023), witnessed a significant deceleration in growth post-1991, despite the Green Revolution’s earlier successes. Prior to economic liberalization, agricultural growth averaged around 3.5% per annum. However, this rate declined to around 2.5% in the subsequent decades. This slowdown is a complex issue stemming from a confluence of factors, including changes in government policies, inadequate infrastructure, and emerging challenges like climate change. Understanding these reasons is crucial for formulating effective strategies to revitalize the sector and ensure food security.

Decline in Public Investment

One of the primary reasons for the deceleration is the decline in public investment in agriculture. Post-reforms, there was a shift in focus towards market-led growth, leading to reduced budgetary allocations for irrigation, agricultural research, extension services, and rural infrastructure.

  • Reduced Irrigation Coverage: Investment in irrigation projects slowed down, leaving a significant portion of agricultural land dependent on erratic monsoon rains. The percentage of net sown area irrigated declined from 37.3% in 1991-92 to 48.8% in 2018-19, indicating a slower pace of irrigation expansion.
  • Stagnant Agricultural Research: Public spending on agricultural research as a percentage of GDP declined, hindering the development of new technologies and improved crop varieties.
  • Weakened Extension Services: The extension system, crucial for disseminating knowledge and best practices to farmers, suffered from inadequate funding and manpower.

Market Distortions and Policy Issues

Economic reforms, while aimed at liberalization, also introduced certain market distortions that negatively impacted agricultural growth.

  • Removal of Input Subsidies: The gradual removal of subsidies on fertilizers, electricity, and water led to increased production costs for farmers, particularly small and marginal farmers.
  • Inefficient Procurement System: The Minimum Support Price (MSP) system, while intended to protect farmers, often suffers from inefficiencies in procurement and distribution, benefiting only a limited number of farmers in certain regions.
  • Lack of Marketing Infrastructure: Inadequate storage facilities, transportation networks, and market information systems resulted in post-harvest losses and reduced price realization for farmers.
  • APMC Regulations: The Agricultural Produce Market Committee (APMC) regulations, while intended to protect farmers, often created monopolies and restricted competition.

Climate Change and Natural Disasters

Increasingly frequent and intense climate change-related events have significantly impacted agricultural production.

  • Erratic Monsoon Patterns: Changes in monsoon patterns, including delayed onset, prolonged dry spells, and excessive rainfall, have led to crop failures and reduced yields.
  • Increased Frequency of Extreme Weather Events: Floods, droughts, heat waves, and cyclones have become more frequent, causing widespread damage to crops and livestock.
  • Water Scarcity: Depletion of groundwater resources and increasing water stress have exacerbated the challenges faced by farmers.

Socio-Economic Constraints

Several socio-economic factors also contribute to the deceleration of agricultural growth.

  • Land Fragmentation: Small and fragmented landholdings limit the adoption of modern technologies and economies of scale.
  • Lack of Access to Credit: Small and marginal farmers often face difficulties in accessing institutional credit, forcing them to rely on informal sources with high interest rates.
  • Rural Indebtedness: High levels of rural indebtedness trap farmers in a cycle of poverty and discourage investment in agriculture.
  • Migration of Labor: Migration of agricultural labor to urban areas in search of better employment opportunities leads to labor shortages in the agricultural sector.

Impact of Trade Liberalization

Trade liberalization, while promoting exports, also exposed Indian agriculture to increased competition from global markets.

  • Competition from Subsidized Imports: Imports of agricultural commodities from countries with higher levels of subsidies put pressure on domestic prices and reduced the profitability of Indian farmers.
  • Limited Access to Global Markets: Indian farmers often face barriers to accessing global markets due to stringent quality standards and trade regulations.
Period Average Agricultural Growth Rate (%) Key Factors
Pre-1991 3.5 Green Revolution, Public Investment
1991-2005 2.5 Economic Reforms, Reduced Public Investment, Initial Market Distortions
2005-2014 3.7 Increased Public Spending (e.g., NREGA), Improved Credit Access
2014-2023 2.8 Climate Change Impacts, Market Volatility, Continued Investment Gaps

Conclusion

The deceleration in agricultural growth post-economic reforms is a multifaceted issue stemming from a combination of declining public investment, market distortions, climate change impacts, and socio-economic constraints. Addressing this requires a holistic approach involving increased and targeted public investment in irrigation, research, and rural infrastructure, reforms in agricultural marketing, promoting climate-resilient agriculture, and empowering small and marginal farmers. A renewed focus on sustainable agricultural practices and diversification is crucial for ensuring long-term food security and rural prosperity.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Minimum Support Price (MSP)
A price fixed by the Government of India to protect the income of the farmers by ensuring a guaranteed price for their produce.
Agricultural Diversification
Shifting from monoculture farming to a wider range of crops and allied activities like horticulture, animal husbandry, and fisheries to reduce risk and enhance income.

Key Statistics

As of 2021-22, only about 37% of the total agricultural land in India is irrigated.

Source: Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, Government of India (Knowledge cutoff: 2023)

India’s agricultural exports were valued at $50.21 billion in FY23.

Source: APEDA (Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority) (Knowledge cutoff: 2023)

Examples

Maharashtra Cotton Crisis

The fluctuating cotton prices in Maharashtra, often driven by global market forces and inadequate procurement mechanisms, have led to farmer distress and indebtedness, highlighting the vulnerability of Indian agriculture to market volatility.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the role of technology in addressing the deceleration of agricultural growth?

Technology, including precision farming, biotechnology, and digital agriculture, can play a crucial role in improving productivity, reducing costs, and enhancing resilience to climate change. However, access to these technologies needs to be equitable and affordable for all farmers.

Topics Covered

EconomyAgricultureAgricultural PolicyEconomic ReformsAgricultural Growth