UPSC MainsPSYCHOLOGY-PAPER-I202510 Marks150 Words
हिंदी में पढ़ें
Q15.

Answer the following questions in about 150 words each : (a) Do correlational studies contribute in understanding 'cause and effect' relationship in human behaviour? Discuss.

How to Approach

The answer should begin by defining correlational studies and their primary purpose. Subsequently, it must directly address the question of whether they contribute to understanding cause and effect. The core of the discussion will involve highlighting why correlational studies *cannot* establish causation (third-variable problem, directionality problem) while also acknowledging their indirect contributions. Conclude by summarizing their utility in psychological research despite their causal limitations.

Model Answer

0 min read

Introduction

Correlational studies are a type of non-experimental research design in psychology where a researcher measures two or more variables and assesses the statistical relationship between them, without manipulating any of the variables. The primary goal is to identify patterns and the strength and direction of associations as they naturally occur in human behavior. While invaluable for exploring relationships where experimental manipulation is unethical or impractical, their role in understanding "cause and effect" is often misunderstood and requires careful discussion.

Do Correlational Studies Contribute to Understanding 'Cause and Effect' Relationships?

While correlational studies can identify relationships between variables, they generally do not establish a direct cause-and-effect relationship in human behavior. This is a fundamental principle in research methodology, often summarized as "correlation does not imply causation."

Limitations in Establishing Causation

  • Directionality Problem: A correlation indicates that two variables move together, but it doesn't specify which variable influences the other. For instance, if variable A is correlated with variable B, it's unclear if A causes B, or B causes A.
  • Third-Variable Problem (Confounding Variables): An observed correlation between two variables (X and Y) might be due to a third, unmeasured variable (Z) that influences both X and Y. Without controlling for extraneous variables, it's challenging to attribute the relationship definitively to X affecting Y.
  • Lack of Manipulation and Control: Unlike experimental designs, correlational studies do not involve the manipulation of an independent variable or random assignment to control groups. This absence of control over variables makes it impossible to isolate the effect of one variable on another.

Indirect Contributions to Understanding Cause and Effect

Despite their inability to prove causation directly, correlational studies play a crucial indirect role in understanding cause and effect:

  • Hypothesis Generation: Strong correlations can suggest potential causal links, leading to the formulation of hypotheses that can then be tested through more rigorous experimental designs.
  • Predictive Power: If two variables are highly correlated, scores on one variable can be used to predict scores on the other. This predictive capability, even without causality, is valuable in applied psychology (e.g., predicting academic success from intelligence scores).
  • Ethical and Practical Necessity: For certain research questions (e.g., the link between child abuse and adult aggression), manipulating variables experimentally is unethical or impossible. Correlational studies provide the only feasible way to investigate such relationships, offering preliminary insights that inform policy and intervention.
  • Converging Evidence: When multiple correlational studies, along with other research methods, consistently point to a relationship, it can build a stronger case for a potential causal link, even if no single correlational study can prove it.

Conclusion

In conclusion, correlational studies are vital tools in psychological research, serving to identify and describe relationships between variables and to make predictions. However, they are inherently limited in their ability to establish a direct cause-and-effect relationship due to the absence of variable manipulation and control, and the pervasive issues of directionality and third variables. Their primary contribution to understanding causality is indirect, primarily through generating hypotheses for experimental testing and providing predictive insights in contexts where direct experimentation is unfeasible.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Correlational Study
A research design that examines the relationships between two or more naturally occurring variables without the researcher manipulating or controlling any of them. It aims to find the strength and direction of an association.
Causation
A relationship between two variables where a change in one variable (the cause) directly leads to a change in another variable (the effect). It implies a direct mechanistic link, which requires experimental manipulation and control to establish.

Key Statistics

A survey published in the "Journal of Psychological Research" in 2022 indicated that approximately 65% of psychology research articles published in the last five years utilized correlational designs, often as a preliminary step to identify areas for further experimental investigation.

Source: Hypothetical - for illustrative purposes

The correlation coefficient (r) ranges from -1.00 to +1.00. A coefficient of +0.8 or -0.8 indicates a strong relationship, but still doesn't confirm causation. For instance, a recent meta-analysis in educational psychology found a correlation of r = +0.45 between hours studied and exam scores, suggesting a moderate positive relationship without proving that increased study time *directly causes* higher scores in all contexts.

Source: Hypothetical - for illustrative purposes

Examples

Ice Cream Sales and Crime Rates

There is often a positive correlation between ice cream sales and crime rates. However, one does not cause the other. A third variable, such as warm weather, likely causes both: people buy more ice cream when it's hot, and more people are outdoors, leading to more opportunities for crime.

Smoking and Lung Cancer Research

Early research on the link between smoking and lung cancer was largely correlational, showing a strong positive association. While these studies could not definitively prove causation due to ethical impossibilities of experimental manipulation, the consistent and overwhelming evidence across numerous correlational studies eventually led to the scientific consensus that smoking causes lung cancer.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the 'third-variable problem' in correlational studies?

The third-variable problem refers to the phenomenon where an unmeasured or unknown variable influences both variables being studied, creating a spurious correlation that suggests a direct relationship when none exists.

Can a very strong correlation imply causation?

No, even a very strong correlation does not imply causation on its own. While it increases the likelihood of a relationship, the fundamental issues of directionality and third variables persist, necessitating experimental research to establish causality.

Topics Covered

PsychologyResearch MethodsCorrelationCausationResearch DesignBehavioral Research