UPSC MainsPOLITICAL-SCIENCE-INTERANATIONAL-RELATIONS-PAPER-II201715 Marks
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Q22.

Analyse the stalled progress of Doha Round of WTO negotiations over the differences between the developed and the developing countries.

How to Approach

This question requires an analytical response focusing on the reasons for the Doha Round’s failure. The answer should identify the core disagreements between developed and developing nations, categorize these differences (agricultural subsidies, non-agricultural market access, special and differential treatment), and explain how these led to a stalemate. Structure the answer by first providing context, then detailing the specific points of contention, and finally, analyzing the implications of the stalled negotiations. Include examples of countries representing different viewpoints.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The Doha Development Round, launched in November 2001 at the WTO Ministerial Conference in Doha, Qatar, aimed to lower trade barriers and facilitate international trade. It was envisioned as a development-focused round, prioritizing the needs of developing countries. However, despite over two decades of negotiations, the round remains stalled, largely due to fundamental disagreements between developed and developing nations regarding key areas of trade liberalization. These differences stem from conflicting economic interests, historical inequalities, and varying levels of development, hindering progress towards a comprehensive trade agreement.

Core Areas of Disagreement

The Doha Round’s failure can be attributed to disagreements across several key areas:

1. Agricultural Subsidies

This was arguably the most contentious issue. Developed countries, particularly the US and the EU, provide substantial agricultural subsidies to their farmers. Developing countries, like India, Brazil, and Argentina, argued that these subsidies distort global markets, depress prices, and harm their agricultural sectors. They demanded significant reductions in these subsidies, particularly the ‘trade-distorting’ ones. The US and EU, while willing to make some concessions, resisted deeper cuts, citing political constraints and the importance of their agricultural industries.

2. Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA)

Developed countries sought greater access to developing countries’ markets for industrial goods (NAMA). They pushed for tariff reductions and the elimination of non-tariff barriers. Developing countries, however, were reluctant to open their markets fully, fearing that it would harm their nascent industries and lead to job losses. They argued for the right to protect their domestic industries and maintain some level of tariff protection. The issue of ‘Swiss formula’ for tariff reduction, proposed by developed countries, was also a point of contention as it was perceived to be more burdensome for developing nations.

3. Special and Differential Treatment (SDT)

Developing countries demanded greater flexibility in implementing WTO agreements, known as Special and Differential Treatment (SDT). They sought longer implementation periods, technical assistance, and exemptions from certain obligations. Developed countries, while acknowledging the need for SDT, were hesitant to grant extensive concessions, fearing that it would undermine the effectiveness of the WTO system. The debate centered around the scope and nature of SDT, with developing countries seeking more meaningful and operational provisions.

4. Services Sector

Disagreements also arose in the services sector. Developed countries wanted greater liberalization of services markets in developing countries, including financial services, telecommunications, and professional services. Developing countries were wary of opening up their services sectors, fearing that it would lead to exploitation by foreign companies and a loss of control over essential services.

The Role of Emerging Economies

The rise of emerging economies like China and India further complicated the negotiations. These countries, with their growing economic power, were less willing to accept the traditional North-South dynamic of negotiations. They demanded a greater voice in decision-making and a more equitable distribution of benefits from trade liberalization. Their increased bargaining power challenged the established order and contributed to the deadlock.

The Impact of Multiple Bilateral and Regional Trade Agreements

The proliferation of bilateral and regional trade agreements (RTAs) during the Doha Round also diverted attention and resources away from multilateral negotiations. Countries increasingly focused on securing preferential trade deals with specific partners, rather than pursuing a comprehensive agreement within the WTO framework. This ‘spaghetti bowl’ effect of overlapping RTAs undermined the principle of non-discrimination and further weakened the multilateral trading system.

The 2008 Financial Crisis and its Aftermath

The global financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent economic slowdown further stalled the Doha Round. The crisis led to increased protectionism and a decline in global trade, making it even more difficult to reach a consensus on trade liberalization. The focus shifted from trade negotiations to addressing the immediate economic challenges.

Issue Developed Countries’ Position Developing Countries’ Position
Agricultural Subsidies Reluctant to make deep cuts, citing political constraints. Demand significant reductions in trade-distorting subsidies.
NAMA Seek greater market access through tariff reductions. Resist full market opening, seeking protection for nascent industries.
SDT Willing to offer limited flexibility. Demand meaningful and operational SDT provisions.

Conclusion

The stalled Doha Round represents a significant setback for the multilateral trading system. The fundamental disagreements between developed and developing countries, coupled with the rise of new economic powers and the proliferation of regional trade agreements, have created a complex and challenging negotiating environment. While the round is officially still open, its prospects for revival appear dim. The future of global trade liberalization likely lies in alternative approaches, such as plurilateral agreements and a renewed focus on bilateral and regional trade deals, though these risk fragmenting the global trading system and exacerbating inequalities.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA)
NAMA refers to trade in industrial goods, excluding agricultural products. Negotiations in this area focused on reducing tariffs and other barriers to trade in manufactured goods.

Key Statistics

According to the WTO, global agricultural subsidies amounted to over $534 billion in 2016, with the majority provided by developed countries.

Source: WTO, 2018

As of 2023, over 300 Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) have been notified to the WTO, demonstrating a shift towards preferential trade arrangements outside the multilateral framework.

Source: WTO, 2023 (Knowledge Cutoff Sept 2021, data updated as available)

Examples

Cotton Subsidies Dispute

The US cotton subsidies were a major point of contention in the Doha Round. Brazil challenged these subsidies at the WTO, arguing that they distorted global cotton markets and harmed Brazilian cotton producers. The WTO ruled in favor of Brazil, leading to a protracted dispute and ultimately, a settlement involving US compensation to Brazil.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did the Doha Round fail despite being touted as a ‘development round’?

The Doha Round failed because the promised ‘development focus’ was not fully translated into concrete concessions from developed countries. Developing countries felt that their concerns regarding agricultural subsidies and market access were not adequately addressed, leading to a breakdown in negotiations.

Topics Covered

EconomicsInternational RelationsPolitical ScienceInternational TradeTrade PolicyGlobal EconomyWTO Reform