UPSC MainsECONOMICS-PAPER-I202520 Marks
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Q12.

Explain the effects of public spending on national income, if it is financed through government borrowings. Why do some believe that it is important to restrict the growth of public expenditure ? Suggest how public expenditure might be controlled.

How to Approach

The answer should begin by defining public spending and government borrowing, then elaborate on the effects of debt-financed public spending on national income using concepts like the multiplier effect and crowding out. Subsequently, discuss the arguments for restricting public expenditure growth, including fiscal sustainability and inflationary concerns. Finally, suggest concrete measures for controlling public expenditure, encompassing both revenue and expenditure side reforms.

Model Answer

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Introduction

Public spending, the expenditure incurred by the government, is a crucial tool for economic management, influencing aggregate demand, income distribution, and resource allocation. When this spending is financed through government borrowings, it introduces complex dynamics, impacting national income in both the short and long run. While it can stimulate economic activity, concerns about fiscal health and intergenerational equity often lead to calls for restricting its growth. Understanding these mechanisms is vital for effective macroeconomic policy formulation, especially in developing economies like India, where public spending often plays a counter-cyclical role.

Effects of Public Spending Financed Through Government Borrowings on National Income

When public spending is financed through government borrowings, its effect on national income is multifaceted and depends on several factors, including the type of spending, the state of the economy, and the method of borrowing.

Short-Run Effects:

  • Multiplier Effect: Government spending, whether on infrastructure, welfare programs, or defense, directly adds to aggregate demand. This initial injection of demand triggers a multiplier effect, where each unit of government spending leads to a larger increase in national income. For example, investment in roads creates jobs, increases demand for construction materials, and stimulates related industries, leading to a ripple effect throughout the economy.
  • Crowding-In Effect: Productive public spending, especially on infrastructure, research and development, and human capital, can "crowd in" private investment. Improved infrastructure reduces business costs, while a skilled workforce enhances productivity, making private sector investments more attractive and profitable.
  • Demand Management: In times of recession or low private demand, government borrowing and spending can act as a fiscal stimulus, boosting aggregate demand and helping the economy recover. This is a key principle of Keynesian economics.

Long-Run Effects:

  • Crowding-Out Effect: When the government borrows heavily from the domestic market, it increases the demand for loanable funds, potentially driving up interest rates. Higher interest rates can make it more expensive for private businesses to borrow for investment, thus "crowding out" private investment. This can negatively impact long-term economic growth.
  • Debt Burden: Persistent government borrowing leads to an accumulation of public debt. The interest payments on this debt become a significant part of the government's recurring expenditure, potentially diverting resources from essential public services or productive investments. This can also lead to higher taxes in the future, impacting disposable income and consumption.
  • Inflationary Pressure: If public spending financed by borrowing, especially from the central bank (monetization of debt), injects too much money into an economy operating near full capacity, it can lead to demand-pull inflation. This erodes the purchasing power of consumers and can destabilize the economy.
  • Impact on Exchange Rate: High government borrowing can lead to a depreciation of the domestic currency if foreign investors lose confidence in the government's fiscal sustainability, or an appreciation if the higher interest rates attract foreign capital, impacting exports and imports.
  • Intergenerational Equity: Financing current public spending through borrowing shifts the burden of repayment to future generations, raising concerns about intergenerational equity.

Reasons for Restricting the Growth of Public Expenditure

While public expenditure is essential for economic development and welfare, unchecked growth, especially when financed by borrowing, can lead to several undesirable outcomes. Some key reasons for restricting its growth include:

  • Fiscal Unsustainability: Continual growth in public expenditure, especially revenue expenditure, without a commensurate increase in revenue can lead to a persistent fiscal deficit and accumulation of public debt. This can make the government's finances unsustainable, leading to a debt trap.
  • Inflationary Risks: Excessive public spending, particularly during periods of high demand or supply constraints, can fuel inflation, eroding purchasing power and creating economic instability.
  • Crowding Out Private Investment: As discussed, large government borrowing can raise interest rates, making it more expensive for the private sector to borrow and invest, thereby hindering long-term economic growth.
  • Inefficient Resource Allocation: Not all public expenditure is productive. Some spending may be inefficient, poorly targeted, or used for non-merit goods, leading to a misallocation of resources that could otherwise be used more productively by the private sector or for more essential public services.
  • Reduced Fiscal Space for Future Shocks: High levels of public debt and committed expenditures limit the government's ability to respond to future economic shocks (like pandemics or global recessions) or invest in new priorities.
  • Impact on Sovereign Credit Rating: High and growing public debt can lead to a downgrade in a country's sovereign credit rating, increasing borrowing costs for both the government and private sector.

Suggestions for Controlling Public Expenditure

Controlling public expenditure requires a multi-pronged approach that focuses on both rationalizing existing spending and enhancing efficiency.

1. Expenditure Prioritization and Rationalization:

  • Zero-Based Budgeting (ZBB): Instead of incremental budgeting, ZBB requires every expenditure to be justified from scratch in each budget cycle, promoting efficient resource allocation.
  • Outcome-Based Budgeting: Shifting focus from inputs to outcomes to ensure that public funds are effectively achieving their stated objectives.
  • Review of Subsidies: Periodically reviewing and rationalizing subsidies, ensuring they are well-targeted to the needy and do not create market distortions.
  • Disinvestment and Asset Monetization: Selling government stakes in Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) and monetizing non-core assets can provide non-debt creating capital receipts, reducing the need for borrowing.
  • Efficiency in Public Service Delivery: Adopting technology and better management practices to improve the efficiency of public service delivery and reduce administrative costs.
  • Containing Revenue Expenditure: Strict control over non-productive revenue expenditures like administrative costs, salaries, and pensions.

2. Fiscal Rules and Frameworks:

  • Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act: Adhering to and strengthening fiscal rules that set limits on deficits and debt. India's FRBM Act (2003) is a key example.
  • Independent Fiscal Council: Establishing an independent fiscal council to provide objective assessment and advice on fiscal policy and public finances.

3. Enhancing Revenue Collection:

  • Tax Reforms: Broadening the tax base, simplifying tax laws, and improving tax administration to enhance tax buoyancy and collection.
  • Non-Tax Revenue: Exploring avenues for increasing non-tax revenues through user charges, dividends from PSUs, and spectrum auctions.

4. Public Financial Management Reforms:

  • Improved Financial Reporting and Accountability: Enhancing transparency and accountability in public financial management through robust auditing and reporting mechanisms.
  • Debt Management Strategy: Developing a comprehensive debt management strategy to ensure that borrowing is sustainable and at optimal cost.

Mechanism of Public Spending Control Description Impact
Zero-Based Budgeting Requires justification of every expense from scratch annually. Optimizes resource allocation; eliminates obsolete spending.
FRBM Act Adherence Legal framework for fiscal discipline (e.g., deficit targets). Promotes fiscal prudence; limits debt accumulation.
Subsidy Rationalization Reviewing and targeting subsidies more effectively. Reduces non-merit spending; frees resources for productive use.
Disinvestment & Asset Monetization Selling public assets to generate non-debt capital receipts. Reduces borrowing; improves efficiency of PSUs.

Conclusion

Public spending financed through government borrowings has a dual impact on national income, potentially stimulating growth through the multiplier effect in the short run, but posing risks of crowding out private investment and increasing debt burden in the long run. The imperative to restrict its growth stems from the need for fiscal sustainability, inflation control, and efficient resource allocation. Effective control necessitates a comprehensive approach, including expenditure prioritization, adherence to fiscal rules, enhanced revenue collection, and robust public financial management reforms. Striking a balance between growth-inducing public investment and fiscal prudence is crucial for India's sustained economic development.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Multiplier Effect
The multiplier effect refers to the phenomenon where an initial injection of spending (e.g., government expenditure or investment) into an economy leads to a larger ultimate increase in national income, as the initial spending circulates through the economy and generates further spending.
Crowding-Out Effect
The crowding-out effect occurs when increased government borrowing raises interest rates, thereby reducing private sector investment and consumption. This happens because the government competes with the private sector for available loanable funds.

Key Statistics

India's Central Government's fiscal deficit for FY 2023-24 (Revised Estimates) stood at 5.8% of GDP, aiming to reach 5.1% in FY 2024-25 (Budget Estimates).

Source: Union Budget 2024-25, Ministry of Finance, Government of India

India's public debt (Centre and States combined) was estimated to be around 81.9% of GDP at the end of FY 2022-23.

Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2023 / RBI Report

Examples

Infrastructure-led Growth in India

The Indian government's significant capital expenditure push, particularly on infrastructure projects like the National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) and Gati Shakti program, aims to crowd in private investment. By improving logistics and connectivity, these projects reduce costs for businesses, making private sector ventures more viable and profitable.

Fiscal Stimulus during COVID-19

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments worldwide, including India, resorted to substantial public spending financed by borrowing to support healthcare, provide social safety nets, and stimulate economic recovery. This acted as a counter-cyclical measure to prevent a deeper recession, demonstrating the demand management role of public expenditure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between revenue expenditure and capital expenditure?

Revenue expenditure refers to government spending that does not create assets or reduce liabilities, such as salaries, subsidies, and interest payments. Capital expenditure, on the other hand, creates assets (e.g., roads, hospitals, schools) or reduces liabilities, thereby contributing to the productive capacity of the economy and often having a higher multiplier effect.

Topics Covered

EconomicsPublic FinanceFiscal PolicyGovernment ExpenditureNational Income