UPSC MainsPOLITICAL-SCIENCE-INTERANATIONAL-RELATIONS-PAPER-II202520 Marks
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Q6.

The world currently has been in the throes of a twin process of 'democratic backsliding' and 'democratic backlash'. How would you explain this paradox?

How to Approach

The answer will first define 'democratic backsliding' and 'democratic backlash', establishing their distinct meanings. It will then explain the paradox by delving into the reasons why democratic decline often triggers public resistance. The body will explore the drivers of backsliding (e.g., populism, economic inequality) and the motivations behind backlash (e.g., defense of rights, civic mobilization). Specific examples and recent reports will be used to illustrate this complex global phenomenon, concluding with potential ways forward.

Model Answer

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Introduction

The contemporary global political landscape presents a perplexing paradox: a widespread trend of 'democratic backsliding' coexisting with an increasing 'democratic backlash'. Democratic backsliding refers to the incremental erosion of democratic institutions, norms, and civil liberties, often initiated by elected leaders. Simultaneously, a 'democratic backlash' signifies robust civic resistance and popular mobilization against these very authoritarian tendencies. This seemingly contradictory phenomenon underscores the dynamic and contested nature of democracy in the 21st century, where the weakening of democratic safeguards can ignite a strong societal response from citizens determined to defend their rights and democratic values. Understanding this paradox requires analyzing both the internal vulnerabilities of democratic systems and the resilience of civil society.

Understanding the Twin Processes: Democratic Backsliding and Democratic Backlash

The world is indeed experiencing a complex interplay between the erosion of democratic principles and vigorous public resistance. This section elaborates on these two phenomena and explains their paradoxical coexistence.

Democratic Backsliding: A Gradual Erosion

Democratic backsliding is a process where a democratic system gradually shifts towards authoritarianism. Unlike traditional coups, which involve abrupt military takeovers, contemporary backsliding is often subtle and occurs through legal or quasi-legal means, frequently initiated by elected leaders. It chips away at the foundations of democracy, making the exercise of political power more arbitrary and repressive.

  • Erosion of Checks and Balances: Leaders undermine institutions like the judiciary, legislature, and independent media, centralizing power in the executive.
  • Suppression of Dissent: Restrictions on freedom of speech, assembly, and press become common, targeting opposition voices and civil society organizations.
  • Weaponization of Law: Laws and constitutional amendments are used to weaken democratic norms, disqualify opponents, or extend political tenure.
  • Electoral Manipulation: While elections may still occur, their fairness is compromised through gerrymandering, voter suppression, or lack of transparency.

Democratic Backlash: The People's Resistance

Democratic backlash refers to the societal response and popular mobilization against democratic backsliding. It manifests as citizens, civil society groups, and opposition parties actively resisting authoritarian creep and demanding the restoration of democratic norms and rights. This resistance often occurs through:

  • Mass Protests and Demonstrations: Citizens take to the streets to voice discontent, demanding accountability and upholding democratic values.
  • Civil Society Activism: NGOs, media organizations, and legal groups challenge regressive policies and expose abuses of power.
  • Judicial and Legislative Resistance: Independent judiciary and opposition members within legislative bodies push back against executive overreach.
  • Electoral Mobilization: Increased voter turnout and strategic voting to unseat leaders perceived as undermining democracy.

Explaining the Paradox: Why Backsliding Triggers Backlash

The paradox lies in the fact that the very acts of democratic erosion often ignite the flames of resistance. This can be explained through several interconnected factors:

1. Threat to Fundamental Rights and Liberties

When democratic backsliding directly impacts citizens' fundamental rights—such as freedom of expression, assembly, or the right to a fair trial—it often galvanizes a popular response. People who have experienced the benefits of democracy are unwilling to surrender these freedoms without a fight.

2. Rise of Populist Leaders and Counter-Movements

The rise of populist leaders, often a driver of backsliding, creates a dichotomy between "the people" and "the elites." However, this narrative can also be inverted, with citizens perceiving the populist leader themselves as the "corrupt elite" who threatens democratic integrity, thus fueling counter-populist or pro-democracy movements.

Table: Drivers of Democratic Backsliding and Factors Triggering Backlash

Drivers of Democratic Backsliding Factors Triggering Democratic Backlash
Economic inequality and dissatisfaction Defense of hard-won democratic rights and freedoms
Rise of populist and illiberal leaders Public awareness of institutional erosion (e.g., judiciary, media)
Political polarization and cultural wars Mobilization by civil society, opposition, and youth
Weak democratic institutions and checks Perceived threat to future generations' democratic prospects
External influence and authoritarian models Increased political participation and voter turnout

3. The "Boiling Frog" Syndrome and Tipping Points

While democratic backsliding is often incremental, there are "tipping points" where a particular action by an authoritarian-leaning government—such as a blatant assault on the judiciary, a rigged election, or severe repression—crosses a line and sparks widespread public outrage. Before these points, public response might be subdued, but accumulated grievances can lead to an explosion of protest.

4. Role of Information and Social Media

Despite attempts to control narratives, access to information (often through digital platforms) can inform citizens about democratic erosion in their own country and inspire them with examples of successful resistance elsewhere. Social media can act as a powerful tool for organizing and amplifying backlash movements.

5. Persistence of Democratic Values

Even in countries experiencing backsliding, studies often show that support for democratic ideals remains high among the populace. This underlying commitment to democracy provides a fertile ground for backlash when democratic principles are perceived to be under direct attack.

Recent Global Trends and Examples

The Freedom in the World 2024 report highlighted a global decline in freedom for the 19th consecutive year, with political rights and civil liberties deteriorating in 60 countries. However, it also noted improvements in 34 countries, indicating the presence of counter-movements. The V-Dem Institute's Democracy Report 2024 similarly noted continued autocratization but also highlighted "U-turns" where countries reverse decline.

  • Poland: After years of democratic backsliding under the Law and Justice (PiS) party, marked by judicial reforms undermining independence and restrictions on media, a strong democratic backlash led to a high-turnout election in October 2023, where opposition parties secured a majority, committed to reversing the erosion.
  • Slovakia: In 2018, mass anti-corruption protests following the murder of a journalist led to the resignation of the then-government, demonstrating significant civic mobilization against perceived democratic failures.
  • Bangladesh: Civilian protests against job quotas and for government accountability have led to significant political shifts, including the recent establishment of an interim government, showcasing the power of civic action in demanding change.

Conclusion

The paradox of simultaneous democratic backsliding and democratic backlash illustrates a global struggle over the future of governance. While populist leaders and structural vulnerabilities continue to challenge democratic institutions, the inherent value of freedom and rights often triggers strong societal resistance. This dynamic tension signifies that democracy, even when under threat, is not passively accepted but actively defended by its citizens. The outcome of this struggle will largely depend on the sustained commitment of civil society, the responsiveness of democratic institutions, and the ability of global actors to support pro-democracy forces in an increasingly complex and interconnected world.

Answer Length

This is a comprehensive model answer for learning purposes and may exceed the word limit. In the exam, always adhere to the prescribed word count.

Additional Resources

Key Definitions

Democratic Backsliding
Democratic backsliding is a process of regime change toward authoritarianism in which the exercise of political power becomes less limited and more arbitrary and repressive. It typically involves the gradual erosion of democratic institutions, norms, and civil liberties, often initiated by elected leaders.
Democratic Backlash
Democratic backlash refers to the popular resistance, civic mobilization, and political pushback by citizens, civil society, and opposition movements against the erosion of democratic norms and institutions by governments or political actors.

Key Statistics

According to Freedom House's "Freedom in the World 2024" report, global freedom declined for the 19th consecutive year in 2024. Political rights and civil liberties deteriorated in 60 countries, affecting over 40% of the global population.

Source: Freedom House (2024)

The V-Dem Institute's "Democracy Report 2024" states that autocratization continues to be the dominant global trend, with 42 countries experiencing democratic backsliding, representing 2.8 billion people (35% of the world's population).

Source: V-Dem Institute (2024)

Examples

Poland's 2023 Election

After nearly a decade of rule by the Law and Justice (PiS) party, which introduced reforms seen as undermining judicial independence and media freedom, the October 2023 parliamentary election saw a significant democratic backlash. Opposition parties campaigned on a platform of restoring democratic norms, leading to high voter turnout and a victory for the pro-democracy coalition, effectively halting the backsliding process.

Slovakian Anti-Corruption Protests (2018)

Following the murder of investigative journalist Ján Kuciak and his fiancée in February 2018, massive anti-corruption protests erupted across Slovakia. These demonstrations, fueled by public anger over alleged government links to organized crime and corruption, led to the resignation of Prime Minister Robert Fico and his cabinet, illustrating a strong civic backlash against perceived democratic failures.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is democratic backsliding always initiated by authoritarian leaders?

Not necessarily by explicit "authoritarian" leaders from the outset. Often, democratic backsliding is initiated by *elected* leaders who, once in power, incrementally dismantle democratic institutions and norms, leveraging the democratic mandate to undermine the system from within. This is often described as "autocratic legalism" or "stealth authoritarianism."

Topics Covered

Political ScienceDemocracy StudiesAuthoritarianismPopulismDemocratic ErosionPolitical Theory